** Barclays says speculation of takeover interest for French biotech firm Abivax ABVX.PA "should not be surprising" given the compelling clinical profile of its inflammatory bowel disease $(IBD)$ drug obefazimod
** Barclays sees Eli Lilly LLY.N and Johnson & Johnson JNJ.N as the "most logical" acquirers to better compete with AbbVie ABBV.N in IBD. Says Pfizer PFE.N could also be interested depending on its business development ambitions
** It sees Federal Trade Commission risk as low for Lilly; higher for J&J due to existing IBD assets
** Abivax rose by over 20% on Wednesday on market rumours about takeover interest from Eli Lilly. Both Abivax and Lilly declined to comment
** Based on deals worth over $2 billion since 2024, Barclays estimates theoretical acquisition price of around $9-10 billion, close to Abivax's current enterprise value
** Abivax shares have surged over 1,500% this year on positive ulcerative colitis drug data
** The stock was down 2% on Thursday, as of 1506 GMT
(Reporting by Danilo Masoni, editing by Alun John)
((Danilo.Masoni@TR.com; Reuters Messaging: danilo.masoni.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))
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