Taking Stock of Sempra (SRE): Assessing Valuation After Recent Share Price Cooling

Simply Wall St.12-13 23:38

Valuation backdrop and recent performance Sempra (SRE) has quietly slipped about 4 % over the past month even as its past 3 months return remains positive, creating an interesting setup for investors ...

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This suggests momentum has cooled, while...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU2362541513.USD":"WELLINGTON NEXT GENERATION GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1621768115.EUR":"AZ EQUITY GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE \"B\" (EUR) INC","BK4208":"复合型公用事业","SRE":"桑普拉能源","LU2362540622.SGD":"WELLINGTON NEXT GENERATION GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","LU2384288077.EUR":"AZ EQUITY GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE \"A-INS\" (EUR) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0742534661.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD (hedged)","LU1621768206.USD":"AZ EQUITY GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE \"AAZ\" (USD) ACC","LU2449327464.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","IE000M9KFDE8.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LARGE CAP VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B29SXL02.USD":"FIRST SENTIER GLOBAL LISTED INFRASTRUCTURE \"I\" (USD) INC","IE00B29SXK94.USD":"FIRST SENTIER GLOBAL LISTED INFRASTRUCTURE \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0048573561.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0251131958.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0251142724.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD","LU1621767737.EUR":"AZ EQUITY GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE \"AAZ\" (EUR) ACC","LU2362541273.HKD":"WELLINGTON NEXT GENERATION GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","LU1621767810.EUR":"AZ EQUITY GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE \"A\" (EUR) INC"},"translate_title":"盘点Sempra(SRE)：近期股价降温后评估估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"SRE":1.5},"content_text":"Valuation backdrop and recent performance Sempra (SRE) has quietly slipped about 4 % over the past month even as its past 3 months return remains positive, creating an interesting setup for investors watching regulated utility names. See our latest analysis for Sempra. At around $88.49, Sempra’s recent 7 day and 30 day share price declines contrast with a modestly positive year to date share price return and solid multi year total shareholder returns. This suggests momentum has cooled, while the longer term case remains intact. If Sempra has you rethinking where steady returns might come from next, it could be worth exploring fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as another way to spot compelling stock ideas. With Sempra now trading below analyst price targets despite resilient earnings growth, the key question becomes whether recent weakness reflects an overlooked value opportunity or if the market has already priced in its next leg of expansion. Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 12.2% Undervalued With Sempra last closing at $88.49 against a narrative fair value near $100.73, the story leans toward upside potential rather than downside risk.  The rollout and completion of major LNG export projects (ECA Phase 1 nearing completion, Port Arthur Phase 1 advancing, and strong commercial momentum for Phase 2) positions Sempra to benefit from sustained global demand for U.S. LNG as a transition fuel, significantly increasing future cash flows and long term revenue generation.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see how robust earnings growth, expanding margins, and a future valuation multiple usually reserved for faster growth sectors all connect in one framework? Explore the full narrative to uncover the exact assumptions powering that upside view. Result: Fair Value of $100.73 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, ongoing regulatory shifts in core utility markets and heightened exposure to volatile global LNG demand could quickly challenge that upbeat earnings trajectory. Find out about the key risks to this Sempra narrative. Another Angle on Value While the narrative fair value suggests upside, our DCF model paints a cooler picture. It puts Sempra’s value nearer $80.66 versus the current $88.49 share price. On that view, the stock looks a bit overvalued, raising the question of which story investors should trust. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. SRE Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Sempra for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 907 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Sempra Narrative If you would rather dig into the numbers yourself and shape the story your way, you can build a full narrative in just minutes, Do it your way. A great starting point for your Sempra research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you want your next move to be intentional rather than reactive, use our screeners now and reduce second guessing about the opportunities others may focus on first.  Explore income focused opportunities by scanning these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that can support your portfolio's cash flow while markets remain unpredictable. Consider powerful long term themes by targeting these 26 AI penny stocks positioned at the forefront of artificial intelligence adoption and innovation. Monitor potential bargains by tracking these 907 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that still appear inexpensive based on their underlying cash flows.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Mobile Infrastructure for Defense and DisasterThe next wave in robotics isn't humanoid. Its fully autonomous towers delivering 5G, ISR, and radar in under 30 minutes, anywhere.Get the investor briefing before the next round of contractsSponsored On Behalf of CiTechNew: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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