1506 GMT - A Bank of England interest-rate cut is more contentious than market pricing suggests, ING economist James Smith says in a note. While investors are pricing in around a 90% probability of a 25 basis-point reduction, data since last month's decision "hasn't exactly been a slam dunk for a cut this time", he says. October inflation saw a rebound in food inflation and continued stickiness in services, while the government budget announcement failed to move the dial in favor of more cuts, he says. Taxes may ultimately be going up by 26 billion pounds a year from budget measures, but in the 2026 tax year revenues are expected to be up by less than 1 billion pounds, meaning if anything the budget results in a small stimulus next year, Smith says. (edward.frankl@wsj.com)
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 15, 2025 10:06 ET (15:06 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
Comments