Has Micron’s 176% AI Fueled Surge Already Priced In Its Growth Potential?

Simply Wall St.12-13

If you are wondering whether Micron Technology is still a smart buy after its massive run up, or if the easy money has already been made, you are in the right place. The stock has surged 176.1% year ...

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The stock has surged 176.1% year ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/semiconductors/nasdaq-mu/micron-technology/news/has-microns-176-ai-fueled-surge-already-priced-in-its-growth\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Has Micron’s 176% AI Fueled Surge Already Priced In Its Growth Potential?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHas Micron’s 176% AI Fueled Surge Already Priced In Its Growth Potential?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-13 23:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/semiconductors/nasdaq-mu/micron-technology/news/has-microns-176-ai-fueled-surge-already-priced-in-its-growth><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Micron Technology is still a smart buy after its massive run up, or if the easy money has already been made, you are in the right place. The stock has surged 176.1% year ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/semiconductors/nasdaq-mu/micron-technology/news/has-microns-176-ai-fueled-surge-already-priced-in-its-growth\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0889566641.SGD","symbol_name":"FTSF - Templeton Shariah Global Equity A Acc SGD","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/semiconductors/nasdaq-mu/micron-technology/news/has-microns-176-ai-fueled-surge-already-priced-in-its-growth","article_id":"2591658599","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/289030-main-header/1756224520833"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/semiconductors/nasdaq-mu/micron-technology/news/has-microns-176-ai-fueled-surge-already-priced-in-its-growth","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2591658599","pubTimestamp":1765640452,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Micron Technology is still a smart buy after its massive run up, or if the easy money has already been made, you are in the right place.\nThe stock has surged 176.1% year to date and 136.2% over the last year. This comes even with a small 1.5% pullback in the past month and a 1.7% gain over the last week, which hints that investor expectations and perceived risk are shifting fast.\nRecent headlines have zeroed in on Micron as a key beneficiary of demand for high...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0889566641.SGD":"FTSF - Templeton Shariah Global Equity A Acc SGD","LU0157215616.USD":"FIDELITY GLOBAL FOCUS \"A\" INC","LU0081259029.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND - TECH OPPORTUNITY \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4543":"AI","LU1323610961.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - LONG TERM THEMES (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z3581.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc USD","LU1267930813.SGD":"FRANKLIN TEMPLETON SHARIAH GLOBAL EQUITY \"AS\" (SGD) ACC","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU2286300806.USD":"Allianz Cyber Security AT Acc USD","BK4141":"半导体产品","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU2211815571.USD":"ALLIANZ POSITIVE CHANGE \"AT\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4566":"资本集团","IE00B7SZLL34.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD-H","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0203347892.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL ACTIVE VALLUE \"A\" (USD)  INC AV","MU":"美光科技","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0792757196.USD":"TEMPLETON SHARIAH GLOBAL EQUITY FUND \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4588":"碎股","LU2048586759.USD":"ALLIANZ SMART ENERGY \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU2089985449.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL SEMICONDUCTOR OPPORTUNITIES \"AA\" (USD) ACC","LU1366333091.USD":"FIDELITY GLOBAL FOCUS \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0203345920.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLB ACT. VL \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4605":"半导体精选","LU0274383776.USD":"MANULIFE GF US SMALL CAP EQUITY \"AA\" (USD) INC","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU2931357623.SGD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL SEMICONDUCTOR OPPORTUNITIES \"AA\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD"},"translate_title":"美光科技176%的人工智能推动的飙升是否已经反映在其增长潜力中？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"MU":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Micron Technology is still a smart buy after its massive run up, or if the easy money has already been made, you are in the right place. The stock has surged 176.1% year to date and 136.2% over the last year. This comes even with a small 1.5% pullback in the past month and a 1.7% gain over the last week, which hints that investor expectations and perceived risk are shifting fast. Recent headlines have zeroed in on Micron as a key beneficiary of demand for high bandwidth memory and AI data center infrastructure, placing it at the center of the AI hardware narrative. At the same time, policy moves around chip export controls and ongoing supply chain investment plans have kept sentiment lively, as investors weigh structural demand against cyclical risks. In our framework, Micron scores a 3/6 valuation check score, suggesting it looks undervalued on some metrics but not others. Next we unpack the standard valuation approaches before closing with a more powerful way to think about what the stock is really worth.  Micron Technology delivered 136.2% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Semiconductor industry. Approach 1: Micron Technology Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow model estimates what a company is worth by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to today, using a required rate of return. For Micron Technology, we use a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model based on cash flow projections in $. Micron generated roughly $2.2 billion in free cash flow over the last twelve months. Analyst forecasts, extended by Simply Wall St s own extrapolations beyond the typical five year window, see free cash flow rising into the mid to high single digit billions, reaching about $10.6 billion by 2030. These ten year cash flow projections are then discounted back to arrive at an intrinsic value per share. On this basis, the model estimates a fair value of about $103.06 per share. Compared with the current share price, the implied DCF discount indicates the stock is roughly 134.0% above this estimate, suggesting Micron is trading well ahead of its modeled cash flow value. Result: OVERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Micron Technology may be overvalued by 134.0%. Discover 907 undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities. MU Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Micron Technology. Approach 2: Micron Technology Price vs Earnings For profitable companies like Micron, the price to earnings (PE) ratio is a practical way to gauge how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings. A higher PE can be justified when the market expects stronger, more durable growth, while companies facing greater uncertainty or cyclicality typically deserve lower, more conservative multiples. Micron currently trades on a PE of about 31.7x. That is below the broader semiconductor industry average of roughly 37.0x and well under the peer group average of around 85.9x. At first glance, this suggests the stock is not aggressively priced relative to many AI exposed chip names. However, Simply Wall St also uses a Fair Ratio framework, which estimates what Micron’s PE should be, given its earnings growth outlook, margins, industry, market cap and risk profile. On this basis, Micron’s Fair PE Ratio is 49.8x, noticeably higher than its current 31.7x. Because this proprietary Fair Ratio adjusts for company specific growth and risk, it is a more tailored benchmark than simple peer or industry comparisons and indicates that the market may still be underappreciating Micron’s earnings power. Result: UNDERVALUED NasdaqGS:MU PE Ratio as at Dec 2025 PE ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1448 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Micron Technology Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, a simple way to attach a clear story to your numbers by linking what you believe about Micron’s business to explicit forecasts for its future revenue, earnings and margins, and then to a fair value estimate. A Narrative on Simply Wall St’s Community page lets you quickly capture your view of Micron, whether that is a high growth, AI supercycle path that supports a fair value around $220 per share or a more cautious, cycle aware view closer to $95. It then automatically turns that story into a financial model that you can compare with today’s share price to inform your decision to buy, hold or sell. Because Narratives are updated dynamically as new news, earnings and guidance arrive, they are an easy, accessible way to keep your thesis current and see how your fair value moves with the facts, instead of relying only on static PE or DCF snapshots. Do you think there's more to the story for Micron Technology? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NasdaqGS:MU 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.Explore how this launch could reshape portfoliosSponsored ContentNew: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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