Generac (GNRC): Reassessing Valuation After Recent Pullback and Tentative Share Price Rebound

Simply Wall St.12-15 00:22

Generac Holdings stock reaction and recent performance Generac Holdings (GNRC) shares have drifted recently, slipping about 4 % in the past day while still edging higher over the past month, and that ...

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See our latest analysis for Generac Holdings. Zooming out, Generac’s 1 month share price return of 6.31 percent and modest year to date gain sit against a softer 1 year total shareholder return of minus 3.89 percent, suggesting momentum is tentatively rebuilding after a tougher stretch. If this kind of rebound story interests you, it is a good moment to explore other industrial names and see what stands out in aerospace and defense stocks. With earnings and revenue both growing at a healthy clip, and the share price still trading at a notable discount to analyst targets, investors now face a key question: Is Generac undervalued, or is future growth already priced in? Most Popular Narrative: 23.3% Undervalued Compared with the last close of $160.75, the most popular narrative pegs Generac’s fair value materially higher, framing today’s price as a potential discount and spotlighting the drivers behind that gap.  Structural improvements in gross margins, supported by favorable pricing realization, supply chain efficiencies, and cost control initiatives, are driving durable improvement in EBITDA margins (raised outlook to 18 to 19%) as the energy technology segment's development costs subside and C&I revenue scales, margin expansion is likely to be sustainable through 2026 and beyond.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how rising margins, ambitious earnings targets, and a rich future profit multiple all combine into that upside case? The full narrative unpacks every assumption. Result: Fair Value of $209.59 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, weaker home standby demand and ongoing profitability challenges in clean energy could quickly undermine the margin expansion and growth assumed in this upside case. Find out about the key risks to this Generac Holdings narrative.  Build Your Own Generac Holdings Narrative If this view does not quite align with your own, or you would rather dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized story for Generac in just a few minutes, Do it your way. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Generac Holdings. Ready for more investment ideas? Before you move on, sharpen your edge by scanning hand picked stock ideas in minutes, so you are not the one hearing about the winners late.  Capitalize on mispriced opportunities by reviewing these 908 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that still have room for their cash flows to catch up with market expectations. Ride the next wave of innovation by checking out these 26 AI penny stocks positioned to benefit as artificial intelligence reshapes entire industries. Lock in reliable income potential by focusing on these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that combine solid yields with room for long term growth.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.Explore how this launch could reshape portfoliosSponsored ContentNew: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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