Fed's Split Rate Cut Puts Fresh Focus On Small-Cap, Mid-Cap And Bank ETFs

Benzinga_recent_news12-13 02:22

An unusual three-way division within the Federal Reserve system has brought several corners of the ETF universe into focus as market participants reassess which corners might be more impacted by ...

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As forecast upgrades by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) for GDP have been tempered by a cool labor market and high inflation, value, financial, and cash flow ETFs have emerged as corners of the market worth watching.\nAlthough there isn't a specific market rotation taking shape yet, internal disagreements within the Fed and new guidance offer market analysts additional factors on which they should focus:\nThe rate cut which created this scenario itself came as somewhat of an anomaly. The Fed reduced the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.5%-3.75%, but it also reflected a degree of division among rate setters. Governor Stephen Miran wanted an even more significant 50 basis points rate cut, while Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee wanted no change to rates at all. It marked the first three-way dissent since 2019.\nThe voting on monetary policy rates was also accompanied by an upgrade in GDP forecasts for several years ahead, with no change or a slight reduction in unemployment and inflation forecasts. The committee still forecasts a single rate cut in 2026, as seen in the September forecast. Fed Chair Jerome Powell labeled the situation as \"challenging\" due to weaker labor market conditions and inflation remaining a point above target. 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