Small Caps Outperform Mag Seven; Key Economic Data Ahead; Gold Buying On Dollar Debasement Fears

Benzinga_recent_news12-16 01:05

Please click here for an enlarged chart of small cap iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM). Note the following: The move up in small caps is being driven by the higher probability of a rate cut as shown...

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ETF (NYSE:IWM).\nNote the following:\nThe move up in small caps is being driven by the higher probability of a rate cut as shown...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/Opinion/25/12/49399286/small-caps-outperform-mag-seven-key-economic-data-ahead-gold-buying-on-dollar-debasement-fears\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"NVDD","symbol_name":"1倍做空NVDA 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chart of small cap iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM).\nNote the following:\nThe move up in small caps is being driven by the higher probability of a rate cut as shown by Fed fund futures.\nMost portfolios are now heavily concentrated in the Mag 7 stocks.  For this reason, it is important to pay attention to early money flows in the Mag 7 stocks on a daily basis. \nIn the early trade, money flows are positive in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:GOOG), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA).\nIn the early trade, money flows are neutral in Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT).\nIn the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ).\nInvestors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:GLD).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:SLV).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (USO).\nBuying in gold and silver is very aggressive.  Here are the key points:\nThe momo crowd is aggressively buying gold in the early trade.  Smart money is inactive in the early trade.\nAs full disclosure, gold ETF (GLD), Gold miner Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) and silver ETF (SLV) are in our portfolio.   An additional trade around position in NEM stock reached its target, partial profits have been taken, and the target has been raised on the remaining quantity.  Trade around positions is a technique used by hedge funds and billionaires to dramatically increase returns and reduce risk.\nBitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is range bound, but the rally attempts continue to be met with selling.\nConsider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.\nYou can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.  The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.  If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.\nA protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.  A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.\nIt is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.  When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.  High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.\nProbability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.\nThose who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.  Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.\nThe Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever Generate Wealth Newsletter.\nBenzinga Disclaimer: This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga’s reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.35.12","shortVersion":"4.35.12","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2591809625","isCrawlerRequest":true}