Carnival Q4 revenue slightly misses estimates; co reinstates dividend

Reuters12-19 22:27
Carnival Q4 revenue slightly misses estimates; co reinstates dividend

Overview

  • Cruise operator's Q4 revenue slightly missed analyst expectations

  • Adjusted net income for Q4 beat analyst expectations

  • Company reinstated dividend and plans to simplify corporate structure

Outlook

  • Carnival expects 2026 adjusted net income to rise 12% from record 2025 levels

  • Company projects 2026 net yields to increase by 2.5% in constant currency

  • Carnival anticipates adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel to rise 3.25% in 2026

Result Drivers

  • COST MANAGEMENT - Effective cost management contributed to surpassing co's adjusted net income guidance by over $150 mln

  • STRONG DEMAND - Strong close-in demand drove record revenues and net yields, outperforming company guidance

  • FUEL EFFICIENCY - Fuel consumption per ALBD decreased 5.6% due to operational improvements

Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Slight Miss*

$6.33 bln

$6.37 bln (19 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

$0.34

Q4 Adjusted Net Income

Beat

$454 mln

$339.93 mln (12 Analysts)

Q4 Net Income

$422 mln

Q4 Adjusted EBITDA

Beat

$1.50 bln

$1.36 bln (19 Analysts)

Q4 Operating Profit

Beat

$735 mln

$642.91 mln (15 Analysts)

Q4 Pretax Profit

$404 mln

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.

Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 22 "strong buy" or "buy", 6 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the hotels, motels & cruise lines peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Carnival Corp is $35.50, about 25.3% above its December 18 closing price of $28.34

  • The stock recently traded at 12 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 14 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nPRrJ7840a

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(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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