Overview
Cruise operator's Q4 revenue slightly missed analyst expectations
Adjusted net income for Q4 beat analyst expectations
Company reinstated dividend and plans to simplify corporate structure
Outlook
Carnival expects 2026 adjusted net income to rise 12% from record 2025 levels
Company projects 2026 net yields to increase by 2.5% in constant currency
Carnival anticipates adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel to rise 3.25% in 2026
Result Drivers
COST MANAGEMENT - Effective cost management contributed to surpassing co's adjusted net income guidance by over $150 mln
STRONG DEMAND - Strong close-in demand drove record revenues and net yields, outperforming company guidance
FUEL EFFICIENCY - Fuel consumption per ALBD decreased 5.6% due to operational improvements
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q4 Revenue | Slight Miss* | $6.33 bln | $6.37 bln (19 Analysts) |
Q4 EPS | $0.34 | ||
Q4 Adjusted Net Income | Beat | $454 mln | $339.93 mln (12 Analysts) |
Q4 Net Income | $422 mln | ||
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA | Beat | $1.50 bln | $1.36 bln (19 Analysts) |
Q4 Operating Profit | Beat | $735 mln | $642.91 mln (15 Analysts) |
Q4 Pretax Profit | $404 mln |
*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 22 "strong buy" or "buy", 6 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the hotels, motels & cruise lines peer group is "buy"
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Carnival Corp is $35.50, about 25.3% above its December 18 closing price of $28.34
The stock recently traded at 12 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 14 three months ago
Press Release: ID:nPRrJ7840a
For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact RefinitivNewsSupport@thomsonreuters.com.
(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)
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