Reassessing ManpowerGroup (MAN) Valuation After a Steep Decline and Recent Share Price Rebound

Simply Wall St.12-18

ManpowerGroup (MAN) has been quietly grinding through a tough stretch, and the stock’s recent bounce offers a chance to reassess where the business stands after years of muted returns for shareholders...

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See our latest analysis for ManpowerGroup. After a brutal slide that leaves the year to date share price return down about 48 percent and the 1 year total shareholder return near minus 46 percent, the recent 1 month share price rebound suggests sentiment is stabilising rather than decisively turning. If you are rethinking where to deploy capital next, this could be a good moment to compare ManpowerGroup with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With shares trading well below analyst targets, yet profits still under pressure, investors now face a key question: is ManpowerGroup an undervalued turnaround story, or is the market already pricing in modest growth ahead? Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 26.8% Undervalued Compared to ManpowerGroup's last close at $29.51, the most followed narrative sees fair value closer to $40, implying meaningful upside if its assumptions play out.  Analysts expect the number of shares outstanding to decline by 1.37% per year for the next 3 years. To value all of this in today's terms, we will use a discount rate of 8.8%, as per the Simply Wall St company report.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how modest revenue growth, improving margins, and shrinking share count combine into a higher future earnings base and low multiple? The narrative connects these moving parts into one cohesive valuation story, but the real intrigue is how sensitive that upside is to even small changes in those assumptions. Result: Fair Value of $40.33 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, the narrative could unravel if AI driven automation reduces demand for traditional staffing, or if Northern Europe’s structural challenges continue to weigh on margins. Find out about the key risks to this ManpowerGroup narrative.  Build Your Own ManpowerGroup Narrative If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalised view in under three minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your ManpowerGroup research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? Use the Simply Wall St screener now to pinpoint fresh opportunities, sharpen your watchlist, and avoid missing the next wave of market leading stocks.  Capture early stage potential by scanning these 3639 penny stocks with strong financials that already show strong financial underpinnings rather than pure speculation. Ride the structural shift toward automation and data intelligence by targeting these 26 AI penny stocks positioned at the heart of the AI transformation. Identify quality at compelling prices using these 910 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that may be mispriced based on their future cash flow potential.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.Explore how this launch could reshape portfoliosSponsored ContentNew: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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