Is Bitcoin Headed For 'Bear Market Blues'? Just 'Trade The Market You Have', Expert Says

Benzinga_recent_news12-17 21:05

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) may be entering a prolonged phase of apathy, what analyst Benjamin Cowen calls the "Bear Market Blues," where downside risk remains elevated before any durable recovery takes ...

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Just 'Trade The Market You Have', Expert Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-17 21:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49445846/is-bitcoin-headed-for-bear-market-blues-just-trade-the-market-you-have-expert-says><strong>Benzinga_recent_news</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) may be entering a prolonged phase of apathy, what analyst Benjamin Cowen calls the \"Bear Market Blues,\" where downside risk remains elevated before any durable recovery takes ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49445846/is-bitcoin-headed-for-bear-market-blues-just-trade-the-market-you-have-expert-says\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4588","symbol_name":"碎股","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49445846/is-bitcoin-headed-for-bear-market-blues-just-trade-the-market-you-have-expert-says","article_id":"2592691885","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://cdn.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/12/17/Marty-Bent-Highlights-Bitcoins-Massive-H_1.jpeg?optimize=medium&dpr=2&auto=webp&width=240"],"rights":{"source":"benzinga_recent_news","url":"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49445846/is-bitcoin-headed-for-bear-market-blues-just-trade-the-market-you-have-expert-says","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2592691885","pubTimestamp":1765976700,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"benzinga_recent_news","name":"Benzinga"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) may be entering a prolonged phase of apathy, what analyst Benjamin Cowen calls the \"Bear Market Blues,\" where downside risk remains elevated befo","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"benzinga.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"83042":"华夏比特币-R","BK4588":"碎股","BTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","03439":"嘉实比特币","BK1611":"加密货币现货ETF","BK4594":"比特币ETF概念","BK4601":"加密货币现货ETF","BK4217":"自存仓储房地产信托","03008":"博时比特币"},"translate_title":"比特币正在走向“熊市忧郁”吗？专家表示，只要“交易你拥有的市场”","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"83042":0.6,"03439":0.62,"03008":0.62,"BTC":1.97},"content_text":"Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) may be entering a prolonged phase of apathy, what analyst Benjamin Cowen calls the \"Bear Market Blues,\" where downside risk remains elevated before any durable recovery takes shape.\nWhat Happened: In a recent podcast, Cowen argued that Bitcoin's current setup closely resembles 2019, when prices topped just as quantitative tightening (QT) was ending. \nWith QT now winding down again, he believes the four-year cycle precedent points to further downside rather than an immediate rebound.\nUnlike prior cycle peaks driven by retail euphoria and altcoin manias, this downturn is marked by indifference. \nThat lack of speculative excess makes the drawdown feel slower and heavier. Cowen warns that, as in 2019, Bitcoin could continue bleeding for months even after QT ends.\nHe sees a high probability of a liquidity sweep toward the ~$74,000 lows, followed by a grind lower toward the 200-week simple moving average, currently between $60,000 and $70,000.\nThe Nvidia Pattern: Sweep Then Rally?\nCowen highlighted a pattern recently seen in Nvidia: a low, a sweep of that low, and then a rally. Bitcoin's recent three-week bounce was weak, about half the strength of similar countertrend rallies in 2022, suggesting it may only be a pause before another leg down.\nHis base case is a sweep of the $74,000 area to flush weak hands, a countertrend rally in early 2026, and potentially a final lower low into mid-2026.\nThe 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently sitting between $60,000 and $70,000, remains the ultimate magnet for a bottom.\nAlso Read: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin Remain Weak On Fresh ETF Outflows\nWhat's Next: Cowen cautions against expecting a V-shaped recovery. \nThe \"Bear Market Blues\" could persist another 100–120 days, with a more durable bottom forming around April or May 2026, possibly catalysed by a shift in Fed leadership or aggressive rate cuts.\nHis advice is simple: \"Trade the market you have, not the market you want.\" \nWhile the near-term outlook remains bearish, Cowen stresses that generational wealth is built during periods of apathy, by accumulating when sentiment is dead, not by chasing rallies.\nThe real money this cycle was made by those who bought the 2022 lows, and the market is setting up a similar opportunity for patient capital.\nRead Next:\nImage: Shutterstock","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.35.12","shortVersion":"4.35.12","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2592691885","isCrawlerRequest":true}