Assessing Hercules Capital (HTGC) Valuation After Recent Share Price Rebound

Simply Wall St.12-17

Dividend income and valuation context Hercules Capital (HTGC) has been quietly grinding higher over the past month, even as its year to date return still lags. That mix of recent momentum and earlier ...

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That mix of recent momentum and earlier ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/assessing-hercules-capital-htgc-valuation-after-recent-share\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Assessing Hercules Capital (HTGC) Valuation After Recent Share Price Rebound</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAssessing Hercules Capital (HTGC) Valuation After Recent Share Price Rebound\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-17 09:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/assessing-hercules-capital-htgc-valuation-after-recent-share><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Dividend income and valuation context Hercules Capital (HTGC) has been quietly grinding higher over the past month, even as its year to date return still lags. That mix of recent momentum and earlier ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/assessing-hercules-capital-htgc-valuation-after-recent-share\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"HTGC","symbol_name":"海格投资","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/assessing-hercules-capital-htgc-valuation-after-recent-share","article_id":"2592895093","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/7131000-choice1-main-header/1585186655666"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/assessing-hercules-capital-htgc-valuation-after-recent-share","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2592895093","pubTimestamp":1765934619,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Dividend income and valuation context\nHercules Capital (HTGC) has been quietly grinding higher over the past month, even as its year to date return still lags. That mix of recent momentum and earlier weakness sets up an interesting dividend and valuation story.\nSee our latest analysis for Hercules Capital.\nWith the share price now around $18.71, Hercules Capital’s 1 month share price return of 6.49% has started to reverse a weaker year to date share price return of 8.19%. However, long term...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"HTGC":"海格投资","BK4135":"资产管理与托管银行"},"translate_title":"近期股价反弹后评估Hercules Capital(HTGC)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"HTGC":1.5},"content_text":"Dividend income and valuation context Hercules Capital (HTGC) has been quietly grinding higher over the past month, even as its year to date return still lags. That mix of recent momentum and earlier weakness sets up an interesting dividend and valuation story. See our latest analysis for Hercules Capital. With the share price now around $18.71, Hercules Capital’s 1 month share price return of 6.49% has started to reverse a weaker year to date share price return of 8.19%. However, long term total shareholder returns remain strong, including a 3 year total shareholder return near 99%, suggesting sentiment is quietly rebuilding as investors refocus on its income profile and growth pipeline. If Hercules’s recent move has you rethinking your income and growth mix, this is a good moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other under the radar opportunities. With shares still trading below analyst targets and our estimate of intrinsic value, the recent rebound could be the start of a re rating rather than the end of the easy gains. Is this a fresh entry point, or is future growth already priced in? Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 11.8% Undervalued With Hercules Capital closing at $18.71 versus a narrative fair value near $21.22, the story leans toward upside if its growth path holds.  Analysts expect earnings to reach $455.0 million (and earnings per share of $1.97) by about September 2028, up from $256.6 million today. In order for the above numbers to justify the analysts price target, the company would need to trade at a PE ratio of 13.5x on those 2028 earnings, which is the same as it is today.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how steady revenue expansion, climbing margins, and an unchanged earnings multiple can still point to meaningful upside? The narrative’s forecasts hide some surprisingly punchy growth math. Result: Fair Value of $21.22 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, intensifying competition in venture lending and Hercules’s heavy tilt to tech and life sciences could quickly pressure yields, margins, and long term earnings visibility. Find out about the key risks to this Hercules Capital narrative.  Build Your Own Hercules Capital Narrative If you are not fully convinced by this view or prefer to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized thesis in just a few minutes. Do it your way. A great starting point for your Hercules Capital research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? Before the market moves on without you, use the Simply Wall St Screener to quickly spot fresh opportunities that match your income, growth, and risk style.  Capitalize on underappreciated value by targeting these 909 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that the market has not fully recognized yet. Explore the next wave of innovation by identifying these 25 AI penny stocks at the intersection of data, automation, and long term growth. Seek reliable cash flow potential by focusing on these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that can strengthen your portfolio’s income backbone.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Mobile Infrastructure for Defense and DisasterThe next wave in robotics isn't humanoid. Its fully autonomous towers delivering 5G, ISR, and radar in under 30 minutes, anywhere.Get the investor briefing before the next round of contractsSponsored On Behalf of CiTechValuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Hercules Capital might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.35.13","shortVersion":"4.35.13","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2592895093","isCrawlerRequest":true}