Waste Management (WM): Assessing Valuation After New 2026 Dividend Hike and $3 Billion Buyback Approval

Simply Wall St.12-17

Waste Management (WM) just doubled down on rewarding shareholders, approving a 14.5% dividend increase for 2026 alongside a fresh $3 billion buyback program that signals steady confidence in its long ...

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See our latest analysis for Waste Management. The announcement lands after a steady run, with a roughly 9% year to date share price return and a powerful five year total shareholder return of about 101%, suggesting momentum is still firmly on WM’s side. If WM’s mix of resilience and rising payouts appeals to you, this could be a good moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other potentially compelling ideas. But with the stock already up strongly over the past five years and trading only modestly below analyst targets, is WM still quietly undervalued, or is the market already baking in years of steady growth? Most Popular Narrative: 11.2% Undervalued With Waste Management closing at $218.90 against a narrative fair value near the mid 240s, the story points to meaningful upside driven by structural margin gains.  The implementation of technology to supplement the workforce and optimize cost structures is expected to be a significant differentiator for Waste Management, potentially leading to improved net margins. The adoption of automation and technology, such as automated recycling facilities, is leading to improved EBITDA margins, which might provide stronger future earnings.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how steady growth, richer margins and a premium future earnings multiple all fit together to justify that valuation gap? The full narrative unpacks the exact revenue runway, profit expansion and earnings power that drive this fair value call. Result: Fair Value of $246.52 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, expiring fuel tax credits and tougher recycled commodity pricing could squeeze margins and challenge the upbeat assumptions behind WM’s current fair value narrative. Find out about the key risks to this Waste Management narrative.  Build Your Own Waste Management Narrative If you see the story differently or simply want to crunch the numbers yourself, you can build a complete view in minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Waste Management research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? Do not stop at one great company. Use the Simply Wall St Screener to uncover more targeted opportunities that others may overlook.  Capitalize on market mispricing by reviewing these 909 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that pair company fundamentals with discounts to intrinsic value. Explore technology trends by focusing on these 25 AI penny stocks positioned to benefit from the adoption of artificial intelligence. Strengthen your income strategy by scanning these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that can potentially enhance portfolio yield while maintaining quality.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.Explore how this launch could reshape portfoliosSponsored ContentValuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Waste Management might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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