Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM): Has the Recent Rebound Left the Stock Slightly Overvalued?

Simply Wall St.12-21 16:19

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) has quietly outperformed much of the market this year, with the stock up about 16% year to date and roughly 20% over the past year despite modest revenue growth. See our ...

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See our ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-adm/archer-daniels-midland/news/archer-daniels-midland-adm-has-the-recent-rebound-left-the-s\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM): Has the Recent Rebound Left the Stock Slightly Overvalued?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nArcher-Daniels-Midland (ADM): Has the Recent Rebound Left the Stock Slightly Overvalued?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-21 16:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-adm/archer-daniels-midland/news/archer-daniels-midland-adm-has-the-recent-rebound-left-the-s><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) has quietly outperformed much of the market this year, with the stock up about 16% year to date and roughly 20% over the past year despite modest revenue growth. See our ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-adm/archer-daniels-midland/news/archer-daniels-midland-adm-has-the-recent-rebound-left-the-s\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0385154629.USD","symbol_name":"贝莱德营养科学基金A2","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-adm/archer-daniels-midland/news/archer-daniels-midland-adm-has-the-recent-rebound-left-the-s","article_id":"2593442124","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/5121000-choice1-main-header/1585186829794"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/food-beverage-tobacco/nyse-adm/archer-daniels-midland/news/archer-daniels-midland-adm-has-the-recent-rebound-left-the-s","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2593442124","pubTimestamp":1766305164,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) has quietly outperformed much of the market this year, with the stock up about 16% year to date and roughly 20% over the past year despite modest revenue growth.\nSee our latest analysis for Archer-Daniels-Midland.\nThat move reflects investors slowly warming back up to ADM after a tough stretch, with a near 20% one year total shareholder return contrasting sharply with its negative three year total shareholder return.\nIf ADM’s steady rebound has you thinking about...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0385154629.USD":"贝莱德营养科学基金A2","LU2211817866.USD":"Allianz Food Security AT Acc USD","BK4588":"碎股","BK4597":"股息贵族","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4189":"农产品","ADM":"Archer Daniels Midland Co","ADM.AU":"Andean Mining Ltd","LU0471298777.SGD":"Blackrock Nutrition A2 SGD-H","LU1571399168.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL LONG/SHORT EQUITY \"IP\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"Archer-Daniels-Midland(ADM)：最近的反弹是否导致该股略有高估？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"ADM":1.5,"ADM.AU":1.5},"content_text":"Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) has quietly outperformed much of the market this year, with the stock up about 16% year to date and roughly 20% over the past year despite modest revenue growth. See our latest analysis for Archer-Daniels-Midland. That move reflects investors slowly warming back up to ADM after a tough stretch, with a near 20% one year total shareholder return contrasting sharply with its negative three year total shareholder return. If ADM’s steady rebound has you thinking about where else capital is rotating, it could be worth scanning fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other under the radar opportunities with conviction from insiders. With shares up strongly despite sluggish sales and trading slightly above analyst targets, investors face a key question: Is ADM still a value play with upside, or has the market already priced in its next leg of growth? Most Popular Narrative: 1% Overvalued With Archer-Daniels-Midland closing at $58.24 against a narrative fair value of $57.60, expectations for steady but unspectacular upside are finely balanced.  The analysts have a consensus price target of $58.3 for Archer-Daniels-Midland based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $70.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $54.0.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what kind of slow burn revenue growth, margin rebuild, and future earnings multiple are needed to keep this valuation in balance? The full narrative spells it out. Result: Fair Value of $57.60 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, lingering biofuel policy uncertainty and structurally weaker Carbohydrate Solutions demand could undermine margin rebuild efforts and derail the current fair value narrative. Find out about the key risks to this Archer-Daniels-Midland narrative. Another Way to Look at Value Step back from the narrative of fair value and ADM’s 23.5x price-to-earnings ratio stands out against the US Food industry at 19.9x and a fair ratio of 23.8x. The gap is small but it suggests limited mispricing and raises the question: how much multiple upside is really left? See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NYSE:ADM PE Ratio as at Dec 2025 Build Your Own Archer-Daniels-Midland Narrative If you see the story differently and want to stress test your own assumptions using the same toolkit, you can build a custom view in minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Archer-Daniels-Midland research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Ready for more investment ideas? ADM might suit your strategy, but you will miss a lot of potential if you stop here. Put the Simply Wall St screener to work for you.  Capture growth potential early by targeting these 24 AI penny stocks that are reshaping entire industries with real, monetizable use cases. Lock in income opportunities by focusing on these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that can help strengthen the foundation of a long term portfolio. Tap into future facing themes with these 28 quantum computing stocks that could benefit as breakthroughs move from the lab into commercial reality.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.Explore how this launch could reshape portfoliosSponsored ContentNew: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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