Is MicroStrategy (MSTR) Undervalued After Recent Share Price Weakness? A Fresh Look at Its Bitcoin-Driven Valuation

Simply Wall St.10:18

Strategy (MSTR) has had a rough stretch lately, with the stock sliding over the past 3 months even as its underlying Bitcoin treasury and analytics business model continue to evolve beneath the ...

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A Fresh Look at Its Bitcoin-Driven Valuation","media":"Simply Wall St.","content":"<div>\n<p>Strategy (MSTR) has had a rough stretch lately, with the stock sliding over the past 3 months even as its underlying Bitcoin treasury and analytics business model continue to evolve beneath the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/software/nasdaq-mstr/strategy/news/is-microstrategy-mstr-undervalued-after-recent-share-price-w\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is MicroStrategy (MSTR) Undervalued After Recent Share Price Weakness? 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A Fresh Look at Its Bitcoin-Driven Valuation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-23 10:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/software/nasdaq-mstr/strategy/news/is-microstrategy-mstr-undervalued-after-recent-share-price-w><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Strategy (MSTR) has had a rough stretch lately, with the stock sliding over the past 3 months even as its underlying Bitcoin treasury and analytics business model continue to evolve beneath the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/software/nasdaq-mstr/strategy/news/is-microstrategy-mstr-undervalued-after-recent-share-price-w\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4594","symbol_name":"比特币ETF概念","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/software/nasdaq-mstr/strategy/news/is-microstrategy-mstr-undervalued-after-recent-share-price-w","article_id":"2593466329","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/8041000-choice2-main-header/1585186556238"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/software/nasdaq-mstr/strategy/news/is-microstrategy-mstr-undervalued-after-recent-share-price-w","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2593466329","pubTimestamp":1766456332,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Strategy (MSTR) has had a rough stretch lately, with the stock sliding over the past 3 months even as its underlying Bitcoin treasury and analytics business model continue to evolve beneath the surface.\nSee our latest analysis for Strategy.\nThat weak 90 day share price return of 49.18 percent comes on top of a year to date share price return of 45.23 percent and a 1 year total shareholder return of 54.12 percent, suggesting momentum has clearly cooled after its explosive 3 year total...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"83042":"华夏比特币-R","BK4594":"比特币ETF概念","BK1611":"加密货币现货ETF","BK4601":"加密货币现货ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","MSTR":"Strategy","BK4600":"加密货币概念","BK4596":"哈里斯概念","BK4595":"比特币概念","STRK":"MICROSTRATEGY 8.00% SERIES A PERPETUAL STRIKE PFD","BK4588":"碎股","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4023":"应用软件"},"translate_title":"MicroStrategy(MSTR)在近期股价疲软后是否被低估？重新审视其比特币驱动的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"83042":0.6,"MSTR":1.98,"STRK":0.6},"content_text":"Strategy (MSTR) has had a rough stretch lately, with the stock sliding over the past 3 months even as its underlying Bitcoin treasury and analytics business model continue to evolve beneath the surface. See our latest analysis for Strategy. That weak 90 day share price return of 49.18 percent comes on top of a year to date share price return of 45.23 percent and a 1 year total shareholder return of 54.12 percent, suggesting momentum has clearly cooled after its explosive 3 year total shareholder return of 1012.22 percent. If Strategy has you rethinking where the next big move might come from, this could be a smart moment to explore high growth tech and AI stocks as potential alternatives. Given that Strategy now trades far below analyst targets despite solid profit growth and a sizable Bitcoin stash, investors face a crucial question: Is this a discounted entry point, or is the market already pricing in future upside? Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 75.2% Undervalued With Strategy last closing at $164.32 versus a narrative fair value of $663, the gap in expectations is striking and demands closer inspection. Assuming Bitcoin appreciates to $300,000 within the next few years, and MSTR partially executes the 21/21 plan, MicroStrategy’s fair value could reach $663 per share, with the potential for higher prices during speculative peaks. Read the complete narrative. Curious how a slow growing software business can justify that kind of upside? The narrative leans on breakneck earnings growth and an aggressive future profit multiple. Want to see exactly how those moving parts combine to reach that target valuation? Dive into the full breakdown. Result: Fair Value of $663 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this bullish path could be derailed by a deep Bitcoin drawdown or a sharp compression in Strategy’s rich NAV premium as alternatives proliferate. Find out about the key risks to this Strategy narrative.  Build Your Own Strategy Narrative If this view does not quite fit your outlook, or you prefer to lean on your own research, you can craft a custom thesis in just minutes, Do it your way. A great starting point for your Strategy research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? Do not stop with a single stock. Put Simply Wall Street’s Screener to work and uncover fresh opportunities before the crowd locks in the next wave of gains.  Capitalize on mispriced quality by scanning these 898 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that balance solid fundamentals with attractive entry points. Ride powerful secular trends by targeting these 24 AI penny stocks positioned at the forefront of automation, data intelligence, and next generation software. Lock in meaningful cash income with these 10 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that combine reliable payouts with room for long term capital growth.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.Explore how this launch could reshape portfoliosSponsored ContentNew: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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