The Insider Report: Santa Claus is Coming to Town (for Bulls)

Benzinga_recent_news12-22 02:24

It looks like Santa Claus is firing up his reindeer and sleigh, as stocks finished last week on a very strong note. Consumer discretionary led the way, and so did the Nasdaq, which finished up 0.48% ...

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Consumer discretionary led the way, and so did the Nasdaq, which finished up 0.48% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/12/49527576/the-insider-report-santa-claus-is-coming-to-town-for-bulls\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"benzinga_recent_news","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Insider Report: Santa Claus is Coming to Town (for Bulls)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Insider Report: Santa Claus is Coming to Town (for Bulls)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-22 02:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/12/49527576/the-insider-report-santa-claus-is-coming-to-town-for-bulls><strong>Benzinga_recent_news</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It looks like Santa Claus is firing up his reindeer and sleigh, as stocks finished last week on a very strong note. Consumer discretionary led the way, and so did the Nasdaq, which finished up 0.48% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/12/49527576/the-insider-report-santa-claus-is-coming-to-town-for-bulls\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"SDS","symbol_name":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/12/49527576/the-insider-report-santa-claus-is-coming-to-town-for-bulls","article_id":"2593817384","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://cdn.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/12/21/Wall-Street.jpeg?optimize=medium&dpr=2&auto=webp&width=240"],"rights":{"source":"benzinga_recent_news","url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/12/49527576/the-insider-report-santa-claus-is-coming-to-town-for-bulls","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2593817384","pubTimestamp":1766341440,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"benzinga_recent_news","name":"Benzinga"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"It looks like Santa Claus is firing up his reindeer and sleigh, as stocks finished last week on a very strong note. Consumer discretionary led the way, and so did the Nasdaq, which finished up 0.48% on the week. The S&P 500 was up 0.10%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was 0.67%. Markets will close early on Wednesday for Christmas Eve, and be closed completely on Thursday for Christmas day. Then, the Santa Claus rally period begins. It looks like it's starting a bit early, however, based on the price action we have coming into this week.The U.S. Supreme Court’s impending ruling on President Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act  to impose broad tariffs could significantly impact financial markets.Conversely, upholding the tariffs would maintain higher import costs, supporting domestic industries yet risking inflationary pressures and retaliatory measures abroad. Markets remain on edge, with contingency plans discussed for alternative tariff authorities i","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"benzinga.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","XLU":"公共事业指数ETF-SPDR","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","XBI":"SPDR S&P Biotech ETF","LABU":"三倍做多标普生物-Direxion","OEX":"标普100","KRE":"区域银行指数ETF-SPDR KBW","XLB":"材料ETF","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","XLV":"健康照护类股ETF-SPDR","XLK":"高科技指数ETF-SPDR","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","XLY":"消费品指数ETF-SPDR可选消费品","BK4504":"桥水持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4588":"碎股","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","XLE":"SPDR能源指数ETF","XLRE":"Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund","XLF":"金融ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","TIP":"通胀债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays"},"translate_title":"内幕报道：圣诞老人要进城了（对于公牛队来说）","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"SSO":0.6,"KRE":1,"SPY":1,"XLF":1,"SDS":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"OEX":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"XLK":1,"LABU":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"IEF":1,"XLRE":1,"TIP":1,"XLB":1,"MESmain":0.6,"XLV":1,"XLE":1,"XLY":1,"SH":0.6,"XLU":1,"OEF":0.6,"XBI":0.6,"IVV":0.6},"content_text":"It looks like Santa Claus is firing up his reindeer and sleigh, as stocks finished last week on a very strong note. Consumer discretionary led the way, and so did the Nasdaq, which finished up 0.48% on the week. The S&P 500 was up 0.10%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was 0.67%. Markets will close early on Wednesday for Christmas Eve, and be closed completely on Thursday for Christmas day. Then, the Santa Claus rally period begins. It looks like it's starting a bit early, however, based on the price action we have coming into this week.\nThe U.S. Supreme Court’s impending ruling on President Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose broad tariffs could significantly impact financial markets.\nCurrently, expectations are pointing to a ruling in early 2026. A ruling against the administration might invalidate tariffs on imports from numerous countries, potentially triggering refunds of $168–200 billion already collected, boosting importer cash flows and easing supply chain pressures but creating fiscal uncertainty and possible market volatility from disrupted trade policies.\nConversely, upholding the tariffs would maintain higher import costs, supporting domestic industries yet risking inflationary pressures and retaliatory measures abroad. Markets remain on edge, with contingency plans discussed for alternative tariff authorities if the current ones are struck down. This is a big wild card for markets right now.\nI want to take a moment to dispel some of the myths surrounding the Santa Claus rally period, which starts this week. This period refers to a seasonal tendency for stock markets to rise during the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January, spanning seven trading sessions around the year-end holidays (markets are typically closed on Christmas and New Year’s Day).\nIt was coined by Yale Hirsch in the 1972 Stock Trader’s Almanac, and this phenomenon has historically delivered positive returns for the S&P 500 about 76-80% of the time since 1950, with an average gain of around 1.3%.\nFactors contributing to it include holiday optimism, lower trading volumes from institutional investors on vacation, year-end tax-loss harvesting followed by reinvestments, and anticipation of the January effect, though it does not occur every year and past performance offers no guarantees. Markets close early on Wednesday this week and are fully closed on Thursday – then, the fun begins!\nThere's quite a bit of congestion taking place at the sector level since the start of the fourth quarter, but if you look at the indices and how they've basically done nothing in 3 months, it's not that surprising.\nHealthcare (XLV) is still at the top of the pack, followed by financials (XLF) and basic materials (XLB). There was a notable pop in the consumer discretionary (XLY) sector last week, which is a bullish signal.\nAt the bottom, we still see more defensively oriented sectors like real estate (XLRE), utilities (XLU), and energy (XLE). The market doesn't seem to be all that concerned with inflation right now, which opens the door for more growth to take hold.\nEditor's Note: Growth signals are growing.\nThere's been some incredible price action taking place in the financials sector. Numerous big banks have broken out to new all-time highs, with some like Bank of America finally recovering all their losses from the Global Financial crisis.\nBut there's something even bigger going on underneath the surface, and it has to do with regional banks. The steepening yield curve comes into play with this ratio, as regional banks have more traditional lending operations compared to the biggest banks.\nOver the past few years, regional banks (KRE) have underperformed the broader financial sector (XLF). But now we just formed a higher-low on the ratio, and if it breaks above the downward sloping trendline, we could be entering a period where regional banks outperform within the broader financial sector.\nThe market's most important sector, technology (XLK) has been lagging over the past couple of weeks. Without tech's participation, and most important, its outperformance, we're going to be stuck in a hard-dollar environment in stocks.\nThis makes it a great time to check back in on the ratio between the tech sector (XLK) and the S&P 500 (SPY). As you can see, a clear uptrend has been in effect for years. The ratio keeps making higher-highs and higher-lows, and if you've been overweight tech, you've outperformed.\nThe ratio broke out from a wedge formation back in September, and has since come back down to retest former-resistance-turned-support. If it holds here, then tech has a shot to resume outperformance, but if we had a false-breakout, then risks are starting to rise at the index level.\nWe have a divided Fed at the moment that can't seem to make up its mind in terms of whether unemployment or inflation is the bigger risk. I would like to direct their attention to the bond market for the correct answer.\nWe're looking at the ratio between Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIP) and 7-10 Year Treasuries (IEF). This tells us exactly what the bond market thinks in terms of inflation, and whether it's a rising risk at the moment or not.\nThe ratio hasn't hit a new high in years. If anything, it's been consolidating within a multi-year triangle formation, which warns that inflation could eventually return. But it's simply not a dangerous macro factor at the moment. This leaves the door open for more rate cuts in 2026.\nInflation's containment has a lot to do with the price of crude oil. Prices look to be breaking key technical support, and it's going to keep a lid on inflation until proven otherwise. This provides a pathway for interest rates to drop.\nIf anything, the bigger risk would be the Fed not cutting soon enough to meet the market's demands. The yield curve is steepening big time and it's pricing in economic growth. At some point, inflation will become a big problem again, but we're just not at that point in time.\nThere's been some noteworthy price action in Ethereum over the past couple of weeks. Prices completed what could be another lower-high after being rejected once again at the 3200-3300 resistance zone.\nBut, as prices have dropped again, they found some support in the 2600-2800 zone, and are trying to complete another higher-low. The corrective downtrend remains intact ever since Ethereum topped out in August, but this could be the first step in bulls regaining some momentum.\nRight now, Ethereum is in a neutral zone above support at 2600-2800 and below resistance at 3200-3300. If resistance breaks, a rally up to 3800-3900 could follow. If support breaks, a drop to 2100-2200 could follow. It's best to wait until it breaks in one direction or another.\nLegal Disclosures:\nThis communication is provided for information purposes only. \nThis communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, from sources believed to be reliable, but Benzinga does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to Benzinga and/or its affiliates and an analyst’s involvement with any company (or security, other financial product or other asset class) that may be the subject of this communication. Any opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This communication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Benzinga does not provide individually tailored investment advice. 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