'Danger Case': Ethereum's Buterin Argues Prediction Markets Can Be Manipulated

utoday12-26

In a recent social media post, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin poured cold water on the idea of romanticizing "hyperstition," which is the concept of a prediction market actually forcing reality ...

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Hence, the market is causing the future. The Ethereum co-founder claims that this actually could be one of the danger cases. If prediction markets gain the ability to manufacture the truth, they will lose their fairness. The Canadian prodigy has specifically singled out two issues with such markets. First of all, there is a danger of a whale monopoly being established, which will lead to a hyperstition being created exclusively by large actors. Hence, the reality could be engineered by whales. There is also the so-called \"hitman\" problem, meaning that a prediction market could actually incentivize people to cause harm. Bad actors could potentially make bad outcomes materialize after making massive bets.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.35.13","shortVersion":"4.35.13","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2594521711","isCrawlerRequest":true}