Guzman Y Gomez (ASX:GYG) Valuation Check After Strong FY25 Growth And Restaurant Expansion

Simply Wall St.01-09

AdvertisementWhy Guzman y Gomez’s latest results matter for shareholders Guzman y Gomez (ASX:GYG) has put FY25 on investors’ radars after reporting stronger sales and EBITDA. This was supported by 39 ...

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This was supported by 39 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/consumer-services/asx-gyg/guzman-y-gomez-shares/news/guzman-y-gomez-asxgyg-valuation-check-after-strong-fy25-grow\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Guzman Y Gomez (ASX:GYG) Valuation Check After Strong FY25 Growth And Restaurant Expansion</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGuzman Y Gomez (ASX:GYG) Valuation Check After Strong FY25 Growth And Restaurant Expansion\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-09 08:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/consumer-services/asx-gyg/guzman-y-gomez-shares/news/guzman-y-gomez-asxgyg-valuation-check-after-strong-fy25-grow><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AdvertisementWhy Guzman y Gomez’s latest results matter for shareholders Guzman y Gomez (ASX:GYG) has put FY25 on investors’ radars after reporting stronger sales and EBITDA. This was supported by 39 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/consumer-services/asx-gyg/guzman-y-gomez-shares/news/guzman-y-gomez-asxgyg-valuation-check-after-strong-fy25-grow\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK7137","symbol_name":"餐馆","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/consumer-services/asx-gyg/guzman-y-gomez-shares/news/guzman-y-gomez-asxgyg-valuation-check-after-strong-fy25-grow","article_id":"2602134228","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/4214000-choice2-main-header/1585186565403"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/consumer-services/asx-gyg/guzman-y-gomez-shares/news/guzman-y-gomez-asxgyg-valuation-check-after-strong-fy25-grow","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2602134228","pubTimestamp":1767918456,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Why Guzman y Gomez’s latest results matter for shareholders\nGuzman y Gomez (ASX:GYG) has put FY25 on investors’ radars after reporting stronger sales and EBITDA. This was supported by 39 new restaurant openings, expanded drive-thru formats, and ongoing international and operational efficiency gains.\nSee our latest analysis for Guzman y Gomez.\nAt a share price of A$21.50, Guzman y Gomez has seen a 1 day share price return of 1.99% but a 90 day share price return decline of 16.31%, while the 1...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK7137":"餐馆","BK4209":"餐馆","QSR":"餐饮品牌国际","GYG.AU":"Guzman y Gomez Ltd"},"translate_title":"Guzman Y Gomez(ASX：GYG)在2025财年强劲增长和餐厅扩张后进行估值检查","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"QSR":1.5,"GYG.AU":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy Guzman y Gomez’s latest results matter for shareholders Guzman y Gomez (ASX:GYG) has put FY25 on investors’ radars after reporting stronger sales and EBITDA. This was supported by 39 new restaurant openings, expanded drive-thru formats, and ongoing international and operational efficiency gains. See our latest analysis for Guzman y Gomez. At a share price of A$21.50, Guzman y Gomez has seen a 1 day share price return of 1.99% but a 90 day share price return decline of 16.31%, while the 1 year total shareholder return decline of 45.43% suggests recent momentum has been fading despite the latest growth update. If this kind of restaurant expansion has your attention, it can be a good moment to broaden your watchlist with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With A$21.50 on the screen, a 45.43% 1 year total shareholder return decline, and valuation tools suggesting a discount to some estimates, you have to ask: is this a reset buying opportunity, or is future growth already baked in? Most Popular Narrative: 22.2% Undervalued With Guzman y Gomez last closing at A$21.50 and the most followed narrative pointing to fair value near A$29.79, the gap between price and projections is clear and worth unpacking before you read the full thesis.  The operational playbook for daypart expansion (strong breakfast and late-night growth), ongoing menu innovation, and a scalable format weighted toward higher-margin drive-thrus are delivering above-industry AUVs and margins. These dynamics are anticipated to continue improving restaurant economics, driving Australian segment EBITDA margins toward the 10% target.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how this growth push translates into that higher fair value? The narrative leans heavily on faster revenue expansion, rising margins and a richer earnings multiple. The exact mix of those three drivers is what really moves the model. Want to see how far the projections stretch to justify that future P/E and fair value gap? Result: Fair Value of $29.79 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this depends on GYG avoiding over-expansion that pressures same store sales, and on keeping a lid on input and wage costs that could squeeze already modest margins. Find out about the key risks to this Guzman y Gomez narrative. Another Way To Look At GYG’s Valuation Our DCF model suggests Guzman y Gomez could be trading around 43.9% below an estimated fair value of A$38.31, which leans toward an undervalued view. That is a very different message to any concern about rich sales multiples, so which signal do you think deserves more weight? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. GYG Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own Guzman y Gomez Narrative If you see the numbers differently or prefer to stress test the assumptions yourself, you can build a custom view in a few minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Guzman y Gomez research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If GYG is on your radar, do not stop there. Broadening your opportunity set with clear, rules based stock ideas can sharpen your next move.  Target potential mispricings by scanning these 881 undervalued stocks based on cash flows built around cash flow based opportunities that might not yet be widely followed. Ride powerful tech themes early by focusing on these 28 AI penny stocks that link artificial intelligence to real business models and financials. Boost your income focus by filtering for these 11 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that combine higher yields with underlying share exposure.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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