Assessing Hercules Capital (HTGC) Valuation After Recent Share Price Softness

Simply Wall St.01-12

AdvertisementEvent Context and Recent Share Performance Hercules Capital (HTGC) has drawn investor attention following its recent share performance. The stock is down around 1% over the past week and ...

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The stock is down around 1% over the past week and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/assessing-hercules-capital-htgc-valuation-after-recent-share-1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Assessing Hercules Capital (HTGC) Valuation After Recent Share Price Softness</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAssessing Hercules Capital (HTGC) Valuation After Recent Share Price Softness\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-12 15:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/assessing-hercules-capital-htgc-valuation-after-recent-share-1><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AdvertisementEvent Context and Recent Share Performance Hercules Capital (HTGC) has drawn investor attention following its recent share performance. The stock is down around 1% over the past week and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/assessing-hercules-capital-htgc-valuation-after-recent-share-1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4135","symbol_name":"资产管理与托管银行","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/assessing-hercules-capital-htgc-valuation-after-recent-share-1","article_id":"2602204515","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/7131000-choice1-main-header/1585186655666"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-htgc/hercules-capital/news/assessing-hercules-capital-htgc-valuation-after-recent-share-1","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2602204515","pubTimestamp":1768202178,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Event Context and Recent Share Performance\nHercules Capital (HTGC) has drawn investor attention following its recent share performance. The stock is down around 1% over the past week and month, while still showing a positive total return over the past 3 months.\nSee our latest analysis for Hercules Capital.\nZooming out, Hercules Capital’s recent share price softness contrasts with its longer history of value creation, with a slight year to date share price decline but a 5 year total...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4135":"资产管理与托管银行","HTGC":"海格投资"},"translate_title":"在近期股价疲软后评估Hercules Capital(HTGC)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"HTGC":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementEvent Context and Recent Share Performance Hercules Capital (HTGC) has drawn investor attention following its recent share performance. The stock is down around 1% over the past week and month, while still showing a positive total return over the past 3 months. See our latest analysis for Hercules Capital. Zooming out, Hercules Capital’s recent share price softness contrasts with its longer history of value creation, with a slight year to date share price decline but a 5 year total shareholder return above 100%. This suggests momentum has cooled in the short term while longer term holders have still seen strong compounding. If Hercules Capital has you thinking about income and credit focused ideas, it could be a good moment to broaden your search with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With Hercules Capital trading at US$18.59 and sitting at a reported 13% intrinsic discount and 13% below analyst targets, investors may ask whether there is genuine upside available or whether the market is already pricing in its future growth. Most Popular Narrative: 12.4% Undervalued Compared to Hercules Capital’s last close at US$18.59, the most followed narrative points to a higher fair value, anchored in specific growth and margin assumptions.  Sustained expansion in the technology and life sciences sectors continues to drive record growth in new loan originations and fundings for Hercules, supporting robust revenue and net investment income growth into 2026. The increasing trend among startups and high-growth enterprises to seek non-bank, specialty lending amid regulatory constraints on traditional banks expands Hercules' pipeline, fueling portfolio growth and supporting higher long-term earnings.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how expected revenue growth, wider profit margins and steady valuation multiples combine to support a higher fair value using a 9.7% discount rate? The narrative lays out a detailed earnings path and share count assumptions that do the heavy lifting. If you want to see exactly how those building blocks stack up, the full breakdown is worth a closer look. Result: Fair Value of $21.22 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, the story can change quickly if competition squeezes lending margins or if tech and life sciences borrowers hit trouble, raising credit and concentration risks. Find out about the key risks to this Hercules Capital narrative.  Build Your Own Hercules Capital Narrative If you see the numbers differently or prefer testing your own assumptions, you can rebuild the story yourself in a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Hercules Capital research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Ready For More Investment Ideas? If Hercules Capital has sharpened your thinking, do not stop here; broaden your watchlist now so you are not trailing the next wave of opportunities.  Spot potential value candidates by scanning these 881 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that the market may be pricing cautiously compared to their cash flow profiles. Target income potential by reviewing these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that pair higher yields with listed dividend histories. Lean into long term themes by checking these 79 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks tied to digital assets and blockchain use cases.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Hercules Capital might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.2","shortVersion":"4.36.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2602204515","isCrawlerRequest":true}