Assessing Calix (CALX) Valuation After Mixed Short And Long Term Shareholder Returns

Simply Wall St.01-09

AdvertisementWhy Calix Stock Is Back on Investors’ Radar Calix (CALX) has recently attracted attention after a stretch of mixed share performance, with a 1 day return of negative 2.24% and a negative ...

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This suggests momentum has cooled in...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4020":"通信设备","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","CALX":"Calix Networks","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4588":"碎股","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","BK4543":"AI"},"translate_title":"在短期和长期股东回报混合后评估Calix(CALX)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"AI":0.73,"CALX":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy Calix Stock Is Back on Investors’ Radar Calix (CALX) has recently attracted attention after a stretch of mixed share performance, with a 1 day return of negative 2.24% and a negative move over the past month and past 3 months. See our latest analysis for Calix. The recent 1 month share price return of 7.49% and 3 month share price return of 10.79% sit against a 1 year total shareholder return of 34.92% and a 5 year total shareholder return of 57.11%. This suggests momentum has cooled in the short term, while longer term holders have still seen meaningful gains at the current share price of $51.5. If Calix has you thinking about what else might be setting up for the next move, it could be worth scanning high growth tech and AI stocks as a starting point for further ideas. With Calix trading at $51.5, sitting on a 34.92% 1 year total return but a weaker 3 year record and an implied discount to some valuation estimates, is there genuine upside left here, or is the market already pricing in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 35.2% Undervalued With Calix last closing at US$51.50 against a narrative fair value of US$79.50, the story centers on whether its platform transition justifies that gap.  The move to a cloud/software-centric, end-to-end platform continues to expand recurring revenue and gross margins; as customers more deeply adopt Calix Cloud and managed services, continued margin improvement and earnings quality should follow, helping to support higher long-term net margins and cash flow.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue mix, margin profile, and earnings power would support that higher value? The widely followed narrative spells this out in detail. It leans heavily on projected growth in cloud subscriptions, a sharp swing from losses to solid profitability, and a future earnings multiple that assumes Calix earns its place among higher quality communications names. The full breakdown shows exactly how those building blocks stack up to reach US$79.50. Result: Fair Value of $79.50 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this hinges on broadband providers adopting Calix’s agentic AI platform at the pace analysts expect and on data privacy rules not adding costly delays to expansion. Find out about the key risks to this Calix narrative.  Build Your Own Calix Narrative If you see the story differently, or simply prefer to test the assumptions yourself, you can build a custom view in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Calix research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Calix has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. The next opportunity you are looking for could be sitting just a few clicks away in our screeners.  Target potential bargains by scanning these 877 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that the market might be overlooking based on their cash flow profiles and current pricing. Ride the AI wave by reviewing these 28 AI penny stocks that are building real businesses around artificial intelligence, not just headlines. Hunt for passive income by checking out these 11 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that combine income potential with equity exposure.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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