Is Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Still Attractive After Its Sharp Recent Share Price Rise?

Simply Wall St.01-10

If you are wondering whether Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings at around US$24.37 is a bargain or already pricing in its recovery potential, you are not alone. The stock has moved sharply in the short ...

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The stock has moved sharply in the short ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-services/nyse-nclh/norwegian-cruise-line-holdings/news/is-norwegian-cruise-line-nclh-still-attractive-after-its-sha\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Still Attractive After Its Sharp Recent Share Price Rise?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Still Attractive After Its Sharp Recent Share Price Rise?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-10 02:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-services/nyse-nclh/norwegian-cruise-line-holdings/news/is-norwegian-cruise-line-nclh-still-attractive-after-its-sha><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings at around US$24.37 is a bargain or already pricing in its recovery potential, you are not alone. The stock has moved sharply in the short ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-services/nyse-nclh/norwegian-cruise-line-holdings/news/is-norwegian-cruise-line-nclh-still-attractive-after-its-sha\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"DCF","symbol_name":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-services/nyse-nclh/norwegian-cruise-line-holdings/news/is-norwegian-cruise-line-nclh-still-attractive-after-its-sha","article_id":"2602309960","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/4212000-choice1-main-header/1585186649420"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-services/nyse-nclh/norwegian-cruise-line-holdings/news/is-norwegian-cruise-line-nclh-still-attractive-after-its-sha","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2602309960","pubTimestamp":1767983337,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings at around US$24.37 is a bargain or already pricing in its recovery potential, you are not alone.\nThe stock has moved sharply in the short term, with a 9.2% return over the last 7 days and 30.2% over the past month, against a more mixed picture of 7.0% year to date, a 6.0% decline over 1 year, and a 58.8% gain over 3 years.\nThese swings have come alongside ongoing industry headlines about cruise demand, pricing, and balance sheet...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4588":"碎股","BK4142":"酒店、度假村与豪华游轮","NCLH":"挪威邮轮","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4517":"邮轮概念"},"translate_title":"挪威邮轮公司（NCLH）近期股价大幅上涨后仍有吸引力吗？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"NCLH":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings at around US$24.37 is a bargain or already pricing in its recovery potential, you are not alone. The stock has moved sharply in the short term, with a 9.2% return over the last 7 days and 30.2% over the past month, against a more mixed picture of 7.0% year to date, a 6.0% decline over 1 year, and a 58.8% gain over 3 years. These swings have come alongside ongoing industry headlines about cruise demand, pricing, and balance sheet resilience. These factors continue to shape how investors think about cruise operators. For Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, this backdrop helps explain why the market has been quick to reassess both risk and recovery potential. Our valuation framework gives Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings a 5/6 value score, suggesting several checks indicate the stock could be trading below estimated fair value. Below, we unpack the key valuation methods behind that number before finishing with an even more complete way to think about what the shares are worth.  Find out why Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's -6.0% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. AdvertisementApproach 1: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model projects a company’s future cash flows and then discounts them back to today to estimate what the business might be worth right now. For Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model starts with last twelve months free cash flow of a loss of $448.9m. Analyst estimates and extrapolations from Simply Wall St then project free cash flow moving to positive territory, with $421.7m in 2027, $1,420.0m in 2028, and $1,967.0m in 2029. Beyond the explicit analyst years, additional cash flows through 2035 are extrapolated, all kept in dollars and discounted back to today to account for risk and the time value of money. Adding those discounted cash flows together gives an estimated intrinsic value of about $54.89 per share, compared with the recent share price of around $24.37. On this DCF view, the stock screens as roughly 55.6% undervalued. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings is undervalued by 55.6%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 879 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows. NCLH Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings. Approach 2: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Price vs Earnings For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a straightforward way to connect what you pay for a share with the earnings that support it, which is why it is often a primary yardstick investors look at. What counts as a “normal” P/E depends on what the market expects. Stronger earnings growth or lower perceived risk can justify a higher multiple, while slower growth or higher risk tends to support a lower one. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings currently trades on a P/E of about 16.7x. That sits below the Hospitality industry average of roughly 22.3x and well below the peer average of about 43.9x. On a simple comparison this can make the shares look inexpensive. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio of 40.1x is a proprietary estimate of what a P/E might look like for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings given its earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market value and risk factors. Because it is tailored to the company’s own characteristics, it can give a more targeted reference point than broad industry or peer averages. Comparing the current 16.7x P/E with the 40.1x Fair Ratio suggests the shares screen as undervalued on this metric. Result: UNDERVALUED NYSE:NCLH P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1444 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, where you tell the story behind your numbers by linking your view on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings future revenue, earnings and margins to a clear forecast and fair value. You can then compare that fair value with the current share price to decide whether the stock looks attractive or stretched. On Simply Wall St this is available in the Community page and updates as new information like news or earnings arrives. For example, one investor might build a Narrative that leans closer to the higher US$40 analyst price target by focusing on premium destinations, cost discipline and earnings reaching about US$1.7b by 2028. Another might anchor nearer the US$23 target by stressing high debt, capacity growth in key regions and risks to occupancy and yields. Both Narratives are automatically refreshed as assumptions or market data change. Do you think there's more to the story for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:NCLH 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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