Should Goldman’s Sell Call Amid Record Margins and Reaffirmed Guidance Require Action From Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Investors?

Simply Wall St.01-09

In December, Goldman Sachs downgraded Illinois Tool Works to Sell from Neutral, even as the company posted a record 27.4% operating margin in Q3 2025 and reaffirmed its full-year operating margin and ...

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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould Goldman’s Sell Call Amid Record Margins and Reaffirmed Guidance Require Action From Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Investors?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-09 10:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-itw/illinois-tool-works/news/should-goldmans-sell-call-amid-record-margins-and-reaffirmed><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In December, Goldman Sachs downgraded Illinois Tool Works to Sell from Neutral, even as the company posted a record 27.4% operating margin in Q3 2025 and reaffirmed its full-year operating margin and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-itw/illinois-tool-works/news/should-goldmans-sell-call-amid-record-margins-and-reaffirmed\">Source 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This mix of bearish analyst sentiment and resilient profitability highlights a tension between perceived valuation limits and management’s confidence in the underlying business.  Next, we’ll examine how Goldman Sachs’ Sell call, set against Illinois Tool Works’ record margins and reiterated guidance, reshapes its investment narrative.  The latest GPUs need a type of rare earth metal called Dysprosium and there are only 39 companies in the world exploring or producing it. Find the list for free.AdvertisementIllinois Tool Works Investment Narrative RecapTo own Illinois Tool Works, you have to believe in a resilient, high-margin industrial business that converts steady demand into strong cash flow and dividends. Goldman Sachs’ Sell downgrade challenges how much investors should pay for that stability, but it does not materially alter the near term catalyst around sustaining record margins, nor does it change the key risk that cyclical softness in core end markets could erode organic growth. The clearest counterpoint to the downgrade is ITW’s Q3 2025 report, where the company delivered a 27.4% operating margin and reiterated its full year operating margin and EPS guidance. That combination of record profitability and maintained outlook keeps the focus on enterprise initiatives and incremental margin gains as the main support for the story, even as weaker segments like Test & Measurement and construction products remain important pressure points to watch. Yet, even with record margins and reiterated guidance, the ongoing revenue pressure in certain segments is something investors should be aware of... Read the full narrative on Illinois Tool Works (it's free!)Illinois Tool Works' narrative projects $17.6 billion revenue and $3.6 billion earnings by 2028.Uncover how Illinois Tool Works' forecasts yield a $261.00 fair value, a 3% upside to its current price.Exploring Other PerspectivesITW 1-Year Stock Price Chart Two members of the Simply Wall St Community place Illinois Tool Works’ fair value between US$261 and about US$569, underscoring how far apart individual views can be. When you set those estimates against the importance of ITW’s enterprise initiatives to sustain margin expansion independent of volume, it becomes clear why you may want to explore several viewpoints before deciding how the stock fits into your portfolio.Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Illinois Tool Works - why the stock might be worth just $261.00!Build Your Own Illinois Tool Works NarrativeDisagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.A great starting point for your Illinois Tool Works research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.Our free Illinois Tool Works research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Illinois Tool Works' overall financial health at a glance.Searching For A Fresh Perspective?Early movers are already taking notice. See the stocks they're targeting before they've flown the coop:We've found 11 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free.Explore 29 top quantum computing companies leading the revolution in next-gen technology and shaping the future with breakthroughs in quantum algorithms, superconducting qubits, and cutting-edge research.Outshine the giants: these 28 early-stage AI stocks could fund your retirement.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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