Assessing GATX (GATX) Valuation After Recent Pullback And Longer Term Gains

Simply Wall St.01-11

AdvertisementGATX stock at a glance after recent performance shift With no single headline event driving attention, GATX (GATX) has come into focus after a recent mix of short term pullback and longer...

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However, its 1 year total shareholder return of 19.03% and 5 year total shareholder return of 115.26% suggest...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU1815336091.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL SMALLER COMPANIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","BK4104":"贸易公司与经销商","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","GATX":"GATX Corporation","LU0757428866.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL SMALLER COMPANIES \"AE\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"在近期回调和长期上涨后评估GATX(GATX)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"GATX":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementGATX stock at a glance after recent performance shift With no single headline event driving attention, GATX (GATX) has come into focus after a recent mix of short term pullback and longer term gains that may prompt investors to reassess the stock. See our latest analysis for GATX. At a share price of $175.88, GATX has recently seen a modest 1 day share price return decline of 1.11%. However, its 1 year total shareholder return of 19.03% and 5 year total shareholder return of 115.26% suggest momentum that still appears more sustained than fading. If GATX has you looking closer at transportation and industrial exposure, it can be useful to compare it against other capital intensive names and broaden your search through fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With GATX trading at $175.88 and sitting roughly 7% below the average analyst price target of $189, the key question is whether this capital intensive rail and engine lessor is still undervalued, or if the market is already pricing in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 6.8% Undervalued Against the last close of $175.88, the most followed narrative points to a fair value of $188.75, which frames the current discount as modest but meaningful.  Strategic deployment of new railcars via committed supply agreements and selective international expansion (particularly in India) position GATX to capitalize on long-term growth in commodity flows and diversified revenue streams, likely improving future revenue and operating margins.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue path and margin profile sit behind that price tag? The narrative leans on steady compounding, disciplined reinvestment, and a richer earnings mix over time. The full set of assumptions connects these moving parts into a single fair value number that is not obvious from the headline share price. Result: Fair Value of $188.75 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, that story can wobble if European weakness drags on GATX Rail Europe utilization or if lumpy remarketing gains and flat renewal rates keep earnings choppy. Find out about the key risks to this GATX narrative. Another take using earnings multiples The SWS DCF model flags GATX as overvalued at $175.88 versus an estimated fair value of $44.34, while the earnings based narrative you have just read frames the stock as modestly undervalued around a fair value of $188.75. That is a wide gap, so which story feels more realistic to you? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. GATX Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out GATX for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 882 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own GATX Narrative If you are not fully aligned with these views or prefer to work from your own data points, you can build a tailored GATX narrative in minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your GATX research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If GATX has sparked your interest, do not stop here. Use the screener to build a broader watchlist and keep fresh ideas coming.  Spot potential value opportunities by checking out these 882 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that might fit a disciplined, price conscious approach. Follow major tech shifts by scanning these 28 AI penny stocks for companies tied to artificial intelligence themes. Add income angles to your watchlist by reviewing these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that offer yields above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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