Assessing Warby Parker (WRBY) Valuation After Strong Recent Share Price Momentum

Simply Wall St.01-11

AdvertisementRecent Performance Snapshot With no single headline event driving attention, Warby Parker (WRBY) has still drawn interest as investors review its recent share performance and fundamentals...

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The stock shows a past week return of 25.1%, a month return of 3.3%, and a past 3 months return of 27.4%, while its 1 year total return stands at 11.8% and 3 year total return at about 6.9x. See our latest analysis for Warby Parker. Warby Parker’s recent 25.1% 7 day share price return builds on a 27.4% 3 month share price return and a 68.8% 3 year total shareholder return, suggesting momentum has been building over time. If Warby Parker’s move has caught your eye and you want to see what else is gaining traction, this could be a good moment to check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With shares recently outpacing analyst price targets and the stock trading above its implied intrinsic value, the key question now is whether Warby Parker still offers an attractive entry point or if the market is already pricing in future growth. Most Popular Narrative: 5.5% Overvalued With Warby Parker last closing at US$28.30 against a narrative fair value of US$26.83, the current share price is sitting modestly above that estimate, which puts extra focus on the growth and margin assumptions behind the model.  The fair value estimate has risen from US$22.45 to US$26.83, reflecting updated assumptions in the model. The revenue growth assumption has increased from 13.24% to 18.83%, indicating higher modeled top-line expansion.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue path and margin profile have to line up to support that higher fair value? The narrative leans on faster growth, fatter profitability and a specific earnings multiple to keep this premium in place. Want to see how those moving parts fit together and what has to go right to justify it? Result: Fair Value of $26.83 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there is still a real risk that slower e commerce growth or heavier retail costs could pressure margins and challenge the premium P/E that the narrative relies on. Find out about the key risks to this Warby Parker narrative.  Build Your Own Warby Parker Narrative If you are not fully aligned with this narrative or prefer to lean on your own work, you can test different assumptions, compare scenarios and put together a custom view in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Warby Parker research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you are focusing on Warby Parker alone, you could be overlooking other opportunities that fit your style. Take a few minutes to scan these ideas before the market moves on.  Spot potential value opportunities by checking out these 883 undervalued stocks based on cash flows, where cash flow based pricing highlights companies that may not be getting full attention yet. Review these 28 AI penny stocks to see which businesses are tying real earnings to AI related themes. Strengthen your income focus by scanning these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3%, filtering for companies offering yields above 3% with an eye on consistency.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Warby Parker might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.0","shortVersion":"4.36.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2602537205","isCrawlerRequest":true}