A Look At Permian Resources (PR) Valuation After Insider Sales And New Shelf Registrations

Simply Wall St.01-11

AdvertisementInsider sales and fresh shelf registrations put Permian Resources under the spotlight Permian Resources (PR) has drawn attention after several senior executives disclosed sizable insider ...

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The reorganization aligned management ownership with public investors and simplified the company’s structure, while the latest shelf moves increased flexibility for potential future capital raises through Class A Common Stock, preferred stock and warrants. See our latest analysis for Permian Resources. At a share price of $14.03, Permian Resources has seen a 3.9% decline in its 30 day share price return but an 11.3% gain over 90 days. The three year total shareholder return of 58.1% points to momentum that has built over a longer horizon, despite a slight 1 year total shareholder return decline of 3.2% as investors weigh insider sales, new shelf registrations and recent operational updates. If you are weighing how this kind of capital markets activity shows up in other parts of the market, it could be a useful moment to broaden your search with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With PR trading at $14.03, sitting below average analyst price targets and screens flagging some value appeal, the real question is whether this insider activity is creating a mispriced entry point or if the market already reflects the company’s future growth. Most Popular Narrative: 22.3% Undervalued With Permian Resources last closing at $14.03 and the narrative fair value at $18.05, the gap is all about future cash generation.  Recent optimization and expansions of transportation and marketing agreements are expected to allow Permian Resources to realize premium pricing for both crude and natural gas, increasing exposure to key Gulf Coast and non-Waha hubs; these actions are anticipated to directly uplift revenues and free cash flow, with estimated $50 million higher free cash flow in 2026 (and further increases beyond 2026 as more volume is shifted).  Read the complete narrative. Curious what turns those contract tweaks into a higher fair value? Revenue expectations, margin uplift and a future earnings multiple are at the core. The exact mix may surprise you. Result: Fair Value of $18.05 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this hinges on oil and gas prices holding up and capital spending staying disciplined, with heavier regulation or tougher M&A outcomes as potential spoilers. Find out about the key risks to this Permian Resources narrative.  Build Your Own Permian Resources Narrative If this view does not quite match your perspective on Permian Resources, you can quickly review and adjust the numbers yourself in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Permian Resources research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If PR is only one piece of your watchlist, it is worth broadening your scope now so you do not miss other opportunities on your radar.  Spot potential bargains by reviewing these 880 undervalued stocks based on cash flows, which screens for companies where current prices sit below their estimated cash flow value. Lean into growth themes by scanning these 28 AI penny stocks, focused on businesses building and commercializing artificial intelligence across different parts of the economy. Tap into income potential by checking these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3%, which highlights companies offering dividend yields above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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