A Look At Perdoceo Education (PRDO) Valuation After New US$100 Million Buyback And Outlook Reaffirmation

Simply Wall St.01-11

AdvertisementWhat Perdoceo’s New Buyback Means for Investors Perdoceo Education (PRDO) has put a fresh US$100 million share repurchase program in place, replacing its earlier authorization and running...

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This combination of a new buyback and unchanged guidance gives investors a concrete update on how management is thinking about capital allocation, earnings quality and the current share price, all using information the company has already confirmed. See our latest analysis for Perdoceo Education. The new buyback and reaffirmed outlook come after a 7 day share price return of 10.45% and a 30 day share price return of 13.21%, even though the 90 day share price return is a 7.16% decline. At the same time, the 1 year total shareholder return of 26.63% and 3 year total shareholder return of 125.66% point to momentum that has been building over a longer stretch. If this kind of capital return story interests you, it could be a good moment to broaden your watchlist with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With the shares at US$32.14, trading at what appears to be a steep intrinsic discount and sitting about 31% below the average analyst target, you have to ask yourself: is this a genuine opportunity, or is the market already baking in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 23.5% Undervalued Compared with the last close at US$32.14, the most followed narrative anchors on a higher fair value, built from detailed revenue, earnings and margin assumptions. Analysts are assuming Perdoceo Education's revenue will grow by 8.7% annually over the next 3 years. Analysts assume that profit margins will shrink from 20.1% today to 18.2% in 3 years time. Read the complete narrative. Want to see what sits behind that valuation gap? The narrative leans heavily on measured growth, firm margins and a future earnings multiple that still trails peers. The exact mix of revenue expansion, profitability and share count changes is doing most of the work. Curious which assumptions really move the fair value line here? Result: Fair Value of $42 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this hinges on continued enrollment strength and stable regulation. Shifts in student demand or stricter rules could quickly challenge that 23.5% undervalued story. Find out about the key risks to this Perdoceo Education narrative.  Build Your Own Perdoceo Education Narrative If you are not fully convinced by this view or simply prefer to test your own assumptions against the numbers, you can build a custom narrative in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Perdoceo Education. Looking for more investment ideas? If you want to round out your research beyond Perdoceo, the Simply Wall St Screener can help you quickly spot other potential ideas that fit your style.  Target long term compounding potential by scanning these 879 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that currently trade at a discount to their cash flow fundamentals. Capitalize on sector shifts by focusing on these 30 healthcare AI stocks that connect medical demand with artificial intelligence capabilities. Tap into digital asset themes through these 79 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks that are building real businesses around cryptocurrency and blockchain infrastructure.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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