A Look At Molson Coors (TAP) Valuation As CAGNY Updates Loom Over Ongoing Volume And Margin Pressures

Simply Wall St.01-11

Molson Coors Beverage (TAP) is back in focus as investors weigh ongoing volume declines, pressured margins, and a negative return on capital against upcoming management commentary at February’s CAGNY ...

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However, its 1 year total shareholder return of a 4.8% decline suggests fading momentum despite upcoming earnings and...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0225771236.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL EQUITY YIELD \"A\" (USD) INC MF","TAP.AU":"Tap Oil","LU0321505868.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Dividend Maximiser A Dis SGD","LU0306807586.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL DIVIDEND MAXIMISER \"A\" (USD) INC QF","LU0321505439.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Dividend Maximiser A Acc SGD","BK4158":"啤酒酿造商","BK4588":"碎股","IE00B3T34201.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"B\" (USD) INC","TAP":"莫库酒业","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0985481810.HKD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL EQUITY YIELD \"A\" (HKD) INC M","LU0225284248.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL EQUITY YIELD \"A\" ACC","LU0306806265.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL DIVIDEND MAXIMISER \"A\" ACC"},"translate_title":"随着CAGNY更新迫在眉睫，持续的销量和利润率压力，看看Molson Coors(TAP)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"TAP.AU":1.5,"TAP":1},"content_text":"Molson Coors Beverage (TAP) is back in focus as investors weigh ongoing volume declines, pressured margins, and a negative return on capital against upcoming management commentary at February’s CAGNY conference and the 2025 earnings release. See our latest analysis for Molson Coors Beverage. At a share price of US$48.13, Molson Coors has seen a 4.56% 90 day share price return. However, its 1 year total shareholder return of a 4.8% decline suggests fading momentum despite upcoming earnings and CAGNY commentary on volume and margins. If recent beer sector headlines have you reassessing your watchlist, it could be a good moment to broaden your search with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With Molson Coors reporting US$11.21b in revenue but a net loss of US$2,090.1 million and ongoing volume and margin pressure, you have to ask: is the current share price a cautious bargain, or is the market already pricing in any future recovery? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 5.3% Undervalued With Molson Coors' fair value estimate at around US$50.81 versus a last close of US$48.13, the most followed narrative sees modest upside supported by specific earnings and margin assumptions.  Analysts are assuming Molson Coors Beverage's revenue will decrease by 0.6% annually over the next 3 years. Analysts assume that profit margins will increase from 9.2% today to 9.3% in 3 years time.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how a flat top line can still support a higher valuation? The core of this narrative is about margins, earnings power, and where the P/E multiple lands by the end of the forecast period. Want to see which assumptions carry the most weight in that fair value math? Result: Fair Value of $50.81 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this hinges on US beer volumes and input costs. Prolonged category softness or another spike in aluminum prices could quickly undermine those margin driven upside assumptions. Find out about the key risks to this Molson Coors Beverage narrative.  Build Your Own Molson Coors Beverage Narrative If you see the setup differently, or prefer to work through the numbers on your own, you can build a personalized view in just a few minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Molson Coors Beverage research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Molson Coors has sharpened your thinking, do not stop here. Your next strong idea might already be sitting in one of our focused stock screens.  Spot potential mispriced opportunities by running your eye over these 882 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that pair current prices with underlying cash flow strength. Ride powerful technology shifts by scanning these 28 AI penny stocks aimed at companies linked to artificial intelligence themes. Build a more income focused watchlist using these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that highlight established payouts above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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