A Look At Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) Valuation After Record 2025 Christmas Spectacular Attendance

Simply Wall St.01-10

Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) is back in focus after announcing that its 2025 Christmas Spectacular, starring the Radio City Rockettes, drew more than 1.2 million attendees, the ...

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The stock has a 90 day share price return of 31.70% and a 1 year total...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4108":"电影和娱乐","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","MSGE":"Madison Square Garden Entertainment"},"translate_title":"2025年圣诞节上座率创历史新高后看看麦迪逊广场花园娱乐公司(MSGE)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"MSGE":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) is back in focus after announcing that its 2025 Christmas Spectacular, starring the Radio City Rockettes, drew more than 1.2 million attendees, the production's highest level in 25 years. See our latest analysis for Madison Square Garden Entertainment. Against this backdrop, Madison Square Garden Entertainment’s recent news arrives after a stretch of strong share price momentum. The stock has a 90 day share price return of 31.70% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 60.33% from a latest share price of $55.01, which suggests investors have been reassessing both its growth potential and risks over the past year. If this kind of live entertainment story has your attention, it could be a good moment to broaden your search and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With MSGE trading around $55.01, close to its latest analyst price target yet showing an intrinsic discount of about 13%, investors may question whether there is still a buying opportunity or whether potential future growth is already reflected in the current price. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 6.1% Overvalued Compared with the last close at $55.01, the most followed fair value estimate of about $51.86 points to a modest valuation premium today. Strong demand for live events and premium in person experiences is translating into record ticket sales and advance bookings for fiscal '26, with concerts and special events at both the Garden and theaters pacing ahead of prior years. This growth in volume and pricing is likely to drive meaningful increases in revenue and operating income. Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue path and margin lift need to line up to back that price tag? The narrative leans on steady top line expansion, rising profitability, and a richer earnings multiple. The exact mix of those three levers might surprise you.  Result: Fair Value of $51.86 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this story could change quickly if demand for discretionary live events softens or if high fixed costs and capital spending squeeze margins more than expected. Find out about the key risks to this Madison Square Garden Entertainment narrative. Another View: DCF Points The Other Way Here is where things get interesting. While the most followed fair value estimate of about $51.86 suggests MSGE is 6.1% overvalued, our DCF model points to a fair value of $63.54, with MSGE at $55.01 trading 13.4% below that mark. These are two methods that tell two different stories, and both are grounded in the same business. Which set of assumptions feels closer to how you see MSGE’s future cash flows and risk? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. MSGE Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Madison Square Garden Entertainment for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 879 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Madison Square Garden Entertainment Narrative If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build a custom view in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Madison Square Garden Entertainment research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If MSGE has you thinking differently about live entertainment, do not stop here. The screener can surface other opportunities that might suit your style and goals.  Target potential bargains by checking out these 879 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that could be trading below what their cash flows suggest. Ride major tech shifts by scanning these 28 AI penny stocks for companies tied to artificial intelligence themes. Boost your income focus by reviewing these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that already meet a 3% yield threshold.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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