A Look At Universal Health Services (UHS) Valuation After Recent Analyst Downgrades

Simply Wall St.01-12

Universal Health Services (UHS) is back on traders’ radar after a Wells Fargo downgrade to Equal Weight, citing fading post COVID benefits and rising legislative risks, with other brokers also taking ...

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See our latest analysis for Universal Health Services. Those rating changes have come after a choppy stretch for Universal Health Services, with a 7 day share price return of a 5.8% decline and a 30 day share price return of a 7.0% decline, even as the 1 year total shareholder return of 13.6% and 3 year total shareholder return of 42.0% point to longer term momentum that has, so far, held up better than the recent pullback suggests. If this hospital stock has you reassessing the sector, it could be a good time to scan other healthcare stocks that might suit your watchlist next. With UHS shares pulling back, yet still carrying an analyst price target above the current US$207.03 level and an intrinsic value estimate implying a wide discount, you have to ask: is this a reset worth considering, or is the market already baking in the growth story? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 17.9% Undervalued Compared with the last close of US$207.03, the most followed narrative sees Universal Health Services trading below an estimated fair value of about US$252.  The company's aggressive buildout of outpatient behavioral health facilities positions it to capture a greater share of rising demand for mental and behavioral health services, a trend driven by increased societal awareness and destigmatization, which is expected to support long-term revenue and EBITDA growth as the mix shifts toward higher-margin, lower-cost care settings.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what earnings power sits behind that valuation gap? The narrative refers to steady top line growth, firm margins and a future P/E that still trails the wider sector. Want to see how those pieces fit together? Result: Fair Value of $252.18 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, that upside story still hinges on policy risk around Medicaid and exchange subsidies, as well as ongoing labor shortages that could pressure margins and slow behavioral health expansion. Find out about the key risks to this Universal Health Services narrative.  Build Your Own Universal Health Services Narrative If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to work from your own assumptions, you can build a tailored view in just a few minutes, Do it your way. A great starting point for your Universal Health Services research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If UHS is on your radar, do not stop there. The best opportunities often appear when you cast a wide, focused net across other themes and sectors.  Hunt for potential value by scanning these 881 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that might offer pricing that does not fully reflect their cash flow profiles. Spot emerging trends in automation and data by reviewing these 28 AI penny stocks that are tied to real business use cases, not just headlines. Lock in potential income ideas by checking out these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that could complement growth focused positions in your portfolio.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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