A Look At Watsco (WSO) Valuation After Recent Mixed Share Price Performance

Simply Wall St.01-15

AdvertisementWhat recent performance says about Watsco (WSO) Without a specific news headline driving attention today, Watsco (WSO) is drawing interest after a mixed run for shareholders, with a 1 day...

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See our latest analysis for Watsco. At a share price of $372.51, Watsco has paired a 7 day share price return of 6.6% and a 1 month share price return of 8.1% with a weaker 1 year total shareholder return of 20.2% and stronger multi year gains. This suggests short term momentum is improving while the longer term picture remains more mixed. If this kind of move has you looking wider than a single stock, it could be a good moment to consider fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as a way to spot other potential opportunities. With Watsco trading at $372.51 and screens suggesting an intrinsic discount of about 21%, the key question is whether this gap hints at mispricing or if the market already reflects the company’s future growth potential. Most Popular Narrative: 8.4% Undervalued With Watsco last closing at $372.51 against a narrative fair value of about $406.60, the current price sits below that central estimate and frames the story around how future earnings and margins might justify the gap. The company's core HVAC replacement business saw a 10% sales increase from higher volumes and a richer mix of high-efficiency systems. This is expected to continue to drive revenue growth and potentially improve gross margins as more of this product mix transitions to broader market adoption. Read the complete narrative. Want to see what is built into that valuation gap? The narrative focuses on steady revenue gains, rising margins, and a richer earnings base a few years out. Result: Fair Value of $406.60 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, softer HVAC demand in key Southern markets, along with potential tariff and cost pressures on new A2L systems, could challenge margins and keep earnings under pressure. Find out about the key risks to this Watsco narrative. Another Angle On Value Our DCF work currently points to Watsco trading about 20.6% below an estimated fair value of roughly $469.33 per share, which sounds supportive. However, any DCF relies heavily on long range cash flow assumptions, so it can present a different picture compared with nearer term earnings concerns. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. WSO Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own Watsco Narrative If you see the numbers differently or simply prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build a complete Watsco view in just a few minutes: Do it your way. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Watsco. Looking for more investment ideas? If Watsco has sparked your interest, do not stop with a single name. Instead, widen your watchlist with focused stock ideas built from clear financial criteria.  Target potential value opportunities by reviewing these 878 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that currently trade at discounts based on their cash flows and fundamentals. Explore technology-focused opportunities by screening these 25 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence trends across different parts of the market. Strengthen your income focus by checking these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that pair higher yields with supporting financial data points.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Watsco might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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