Assessing Lingbao Gold Group (SEHK:3330) Valuation After Upgraded 2025 Earnings Guidance

Simply Wall St.01-13

Lingbao Gold Group (SEHK:3330) has issued new full year 2025 earnings guidance, indicating higher revenue and a much larger net profit range, supported by increased gold output, efficiency gains and ...

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See our latest analysis for Lingbao Gold Group. The guidance arrives after a sharp run in Lingbao Gold Group’s shares, with a 1-month share price return of 15.14% and a very large 1-year total shareholder return, suggesting that momentum has been building as investors reassess the company’s earnings power and risk profile. If you are looking beyond Lingbao Gold Group, this could be a good moment to widen your search and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With Lingbao Gold Group guiding for higher 2025 revenue and a much larger profit, yet the share price already up strongly over 1 year, you have to ask: is there still an opportunity here, or is the market already pricing in that potential growth? AdvertisementPrice-to-Earnings of 20.5x: Is it justified? Lingbao Gold Group trades on a P/E of 20.5x at a last close of HK$20.46, which screens as expensive relative to several reference points. The P/E ratio links what you pay today to the company’s current earnings, so for a miner like Lingbao Gold Group it reflects how much the market is willing to pay for each unit of profit in a sector where earnings can be sensitive to commodity prices and operating conditions. Here, the 20.5x P/E is higher than both the Hong Kong Metals and Mining industry average of 17.9x and the company’s estimated fair P/E of 16.7x. This indicates that the current multiple implies the market is assigning a richer price to existing earnings than both the wider industry and what the SWS fair ratio suggests would be reasonable over time. On the other hand, that same 20.5x multiple is well below the 43.2x peer average cited for a closer comparison group. While the stock screens as expensive against the industry and the fair ratio level the multiple could move toward, it looks cheaper when set against those higher rated peers. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Lingbao Gold Group Result: Preferred multiple of 20.5x P/E (OVERVALUED) However, you also have to weigh the wide gap to the HK$13.75 price target and the very large 1 year return, which can both result in sharper swings. Find out about the key risks to this Lingbao Gold Group narrative. Another angle, using the SWS DCF model Our DCF model paints a different picture. On that view, Lingbao Gold Group at HK$20.46 is trading above an estimated fair value of HK$13.71, which suggests the shares are priced well ahead of that cash flow based estimate. So which signal do you treat as more important? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 3330 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Lingbao Gold Group for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 885 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Lingbao Gold Group Narrative If you look at the numbers and come to a different conclusion, or prefer to test your own view, you can build a complete version yourself in a few minutes, Do it your way. A great starting point for your Lingbao Gold Group research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Ready to uncover your next idea? If Lingbao Gold Group caught your attention, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist now so you are not left chasing the next move after it happens.  Spot potential mispricing by scanning these 885 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that may be trading below what their cash flows suggest they are worth. Ride emerging tech trends by zeroing in on these 26 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence themes. Target higher income potential by filtering for these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that can add yield to your portfolio.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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