A Look At Millicom (NasdaqGS:TIGO) Valuation After Analyst Upgrades And Latin American Growth Plans

Simply Wall St.01-12

Recent analyst upgrades to earnings estimates and a strong momentum rating have pushed Millicom International Cellular (TIGO) into focus, as investors weigh improving sentiment against the company’s ...

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See our latest analysis for Millicom International Cellular. Despite recent analyst optimism, the stock’s recent 1-day share price return of 3.24% decline, 7-day return of 12.36% decline and year to date return of 11.32% decline contrast with a very large 1-year total shareholder return of 130.46%. This hints that momentum has cooled in the short term after a strong run as the market reassesses growth potential and risk around Millicom’s Latin American infrastructure plans. If Millicom’s recent moves have you thinking about where else growth and ownership incentives might line up, it could be worth broadening your search with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership With Millicom trading at $50.15 against an analyst price target of $55.35 and an indicated intrinsic discount of 73.74%, it raises the question: is this a genuine valuation gap, or is the market already factoring in its future growth? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 4.2% Undervalued Millicom International Cellular’s fair value in the most followed narrative sits modestly above the last close of $50.15, putting a small valuation gap in focus for investors weighing its Latin American telecom footprint.  The analysts have a consensus price target of $44.511 for Millicom International Cellular based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $55.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $36.0.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what sits behind this fair value call? Revenue expectations stay fairly steady, while profit margins and the future earnings multiple carry more weight in this narrative. Result: Fair Value of $52.35 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this fair value story can be challenged if currency volatility in key Latin American markets or heavier than planned network investment begins to squeeze margins. Find out about the key risks to this Millicom International Cellular narrative.  Build Your Own Millicom International Cellular Narrative If you see the numbers differently or want to stress test your own view, you can pull the data together and build a custom narrative in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way A great starting point for your Millicom International Cellular research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Millicom has you thinking more broadly about your portfolio, now is the moment to scan for fresh ideas before the next wave of opportunities moves ahead without you.  Target potential value opportunities early by running your own screen across these 883 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that might merit a closer look on price versus fundamentals. Spot fast movers in cutting edge tech by checking these 28 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence themes and emerging use cases. Strengthen your income focus by reviewing these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that feature higher dividend yields and may suit a cash flow minded approach.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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