Spotify (SPOT) Valuation Check As Creator Monetization And Video Podcast Tools Expand

Simply Wall St.01-13

Spotify Technology (SPOT) is drawing fresh attention after expanding its creator monetization program and introducing new tools for video podcasters, including lower entry thresholds and sponsorship ...

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See our latest analysis for Spotify Technology. The latest creator focused rollout comes after a tougher few months for the stock, with a 7 day share price return of 10.68% and a 90 day share price return showing a 22.46% decline, even though the 1 year total shareholder return is 15.58% and the 5 year total shareholder return is 65.72%. This suggests longer term holders have still seen meaningful gains despite recent momentum fading. If Spotify’s creator push has you thinking about where else technology is reshaping media, it could be a good moment to look at high growth tech and AI stocks as potential next ideas. With revenue growth of 11.64%, net income growth of 24.63% and shares sitting below some intrinsic value estimates, the key question is whether Spotify is still on sale or if the market already reflects its future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 24.6% Undervalued According to MichaelP, Spotify Technology’s fair value sits at $703.12 per share, compared to the last close of $530, with the gap tied to long term cash flow potential. “As of 2022, Spotify only monetised 14% of podcast listening time while it focused on user growth, engagement, and podcast investment. As the business ramps up monetization of content, achieves better deals with the labels, reduces growth expenditure and relies less on music, I expect its gross and net margins will improve considerably, which will also change the way investors value the stock.” Read the complete narrative. Curious how this turns into a higher price tag than today’s? The narrative leans on rising revenue, higher margins and a future earnings multiple usually reserved for market leaders. Result: Fair Value of $703.12 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this hinges on Spotify defending its leading position in music streaming and successfully improving ad monetization, where slower progress or tougher competition could weaken the thesis. Find out about the key risks to this Spotify Technology narrative.  Build Your Own Spotify Technology Narrative If you see the numbers differently or want to stress test your own assumptions, you can build a Spotify view from scratch in minutes: Do it your way. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Spotify Technology. Looking for more investment ideas? If Spotify has you thinking bigger, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist with a few focused stock ideas that could sharpen how you deploy your capital.  Target steadier income by checking out these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that may suit investors who want regular cash returns alongside potential capital gains. Back long term growth themes by scanning these 26 AI penny stocks tied to companies working with artificial intelligence across different parts of the economy. Hunt for potential mispricings by reviewing these 881 undervalued stocks based on cash flows where current market prices differ from underlying cash flow estimates.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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