Assessing XtalPi Holdings (SEHK:2228) Valuation After Strong AI Rally And Recent Profit Taking

Simply Wall St.01-14

AdvertisementWhy XtalPi’s recent bond deal matters for equity investors XtalPi Holdings (SEHK:2228) recently announced a HK$2.866b zero coupon bond offering, while its shares saw profit taking after a...

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It was issued under Regulation S, which keeps equity investors focused on how the company allocates this fresh...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK1141":"生命科学工具和服务","BK1617":"AI医疗","AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","BK4588":"碎股","BK4528":"SaaS概念","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","02228":"晶泰控股","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4543":"AI"},"translate_title":"在人工智能强劲反弹和近期获利回吐后评估XtalPi Holdings(SEHK：2228)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"02228":0.9,"AI":0.9},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy XtalPi’s recent bond deal matters for equity investors XtalPi Holdings (SEHK:2228) recently announced a HK$2.866b zero coupon bond offering, while its shares saw profit taking after a strong past 3 months, as investors reassess AI drug discovery exposure. The bond is an unsubordinated, unsecured, callable zero coupon note priced at 100% of principal and due January 26, 2027. It was issued under Regulation S, which keeps equity investors focused on how the company allocates this fresh capital. See our latest analysis for XtalPi Holdings. That bond issue lands at a time when sentiment around AI drug discovery is shifting quickly. XtalPi’s 7 day share price return of 20.74% and 30 day share price return of 41.58% point to strong near term momentum, while its 1 year total shareholder return of 196.91% shows how much the story has already moved. If this kind of AI driven move has your attention, it could be a moment to scan high growth tech and AI stocks to spot other names riding similar themes or potentially setting up for a next leg. With the share price up 196.91% over the past year and trading above the HK$10.26 analyst target at HK$13.45, you have to ask: is XtalPi still mispriced, or is the market already baking in future growth? Price-to-book of 7.4x, is it justified? At HK$13.45, XtalPi is carrying a P/B of 7.4x, which puts it well above both its Asian life sciences peers and its direct comparables. P/B compares the market value of the equity to the accounting book value of net assets. This ratio is particularly relevant for a business that is still loss making and investing heavily in research and platforms rather than hard assets. With XtalPi currently unprofitable, a 7.4x P/B indicates that investors are assigning a relatively high value to future earnings potential and to asset-light AI and robotics platforms that may not be fully reflected on the balance sheet. Against an Asian life sciences industry average of 2.5x and a peer average of 4.1x, the current P/B represents materially richer pricing and suggests the market is already paying a premium for growth expectations. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. Result: Price-to-book of 7.4x (OVERVALUED). However, you also need to weigh risks such as XtalPi’s HK$196.795m net loss and the possibility that enthusiasm for AI drug discovery cools faster than expected. Find out about the key risks to this XtalPi Holdings narrative. Another view on value While the 7.4x P/B suggests a rich price tag, our DCF model comes out even tougher. At HK$13.45, XtalPi trades very far above the HK$4.83 DCF fair value estimate, which frames today’s price as overvalued. This raises the question of whether the share price is leaning more on story than on cash flows. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 2228 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out XtalPi Holdings for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 883 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own XtalPi Holdings Narrative If you see the numbers differently or prefer to stress test the assumptions yourself, you can build a custom view in just a few minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your XtalPi Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you want to keep your edge rather than just watch from the sidelines, use the Simply Wall St Screener to actively hunt for your next opportunity.  Target potential mispricings by scanning these 883 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that align with your own view of fair value and cash flow strength. Ride the AI wave on your terms by checking out these 25 AI penny stocks that fit the kind of growth story you actually want to own. Tap into a different part of the market with these 79 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks that link equity exposure to digital asset themes you already follow closely.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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