Alignment Healthcare (ALHC) Is Up 7.4% After 31% Medicare Membership Growth And Reaffirmed Outlook - What's Changed

Simply Wall St.01-16

In recent days, Alignment Healthcare reported that its Medicare Advantage health plan membership grew 31% year over year to about 275,300 as of January 1, 2026, while reaffirming its 2025 outlook and ...

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Management also highlighted that for the second consecutive year, 100% of members are enrolled in plans rated 4 stars or higher, underscoring the role of quality scores in supporting the company’s growth ambitions. Next, we'll examine how this strong 31% membership growth and reaffirmed outlook could reshape Alignment Healthcare's existing investment narrative. We've found 12 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free.AdvertisementAlignment Healthcare Investment Narrative RecapTo own Alignment Healthcare, you need to believe its tech-enabled Medicare Advantage model can translate strong membership growth and high-quality scores into durable profitability, despite regulatory and reimbursement uncertainty. The recent 31% membership increase and reaffirmed 2025 outlook reinforce the near term growth catalyst of scaling its platform, while General Atlantic’s large share sale appears more like a technical overhang than a change to the company’s operating trajectory or core risk profile. The most relevant recent announcement here is Alignment’s confirmation that 100% of its members remain in 4 star or higher plans for a second year, supporting higher reimbursement and reinforcing its competitive position. This quality footing matters for the catalyst of margin improvement and earnings growth, particularly as policy makers scrutinize Medicare Advantage benefits and reimbursement formulas more closely in the years ahead. Yet despite this quality backdrop, investors should be aware that rising regulatory scrutiny of Medicare Advantage reimbursement and star ratings could... Read the full narrative on Alignment Healthcare (it's free!)Alignment Healthcare's narrative projects $6.8 billion revenue and $118.7 million earnings by 2028. This requires 26.7% yearly revenue growth and a $169.7 million earnings increase from -$51.0 million today.Uncover how Alignment Healthcare's forecasts yield a $21.04 fair value, a 6% downside to its current price.Exploring Other PerspectivesALHC 1-Year Stock Price Chart Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community cluster between US$17.42 and US$21.04, reflecting a tight but differing set of expectations. You should weigh these views against the key catalyst that Alignment’s all 4 star or better plans currently underpin its revenue per member and potential earnings improvement, while also considering how policy changes could alter that picture over time.Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Alignment Healthcare - why the stock might be worth 23% less than the current price!Build Your Own Alignment Healthcare NarrativeDisagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.A great starting point for your Alignment Healthcare research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.Our free Alignment Healthcare research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Alignment Healthcare's overall financial health at a glance.Seeking Other Investments?Early movers are already taking notice. See the stocks they're targeting before they've flown the coop:Explore 23 top quantum computing companies leading the revolution in next-gen technology and shaping the future with breakthroughs in quantum algorithms, superconducting qubits, and cutting-edge research.Trump's oil boom is here - pipelines are primed to profit. Discover the 22 US stocks riding the wave.The end of cancer? These 29 emerging AI stocks are developing tech that will allow early identification of life changing diseases like cancer and Alzheimer's.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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