A Look At Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN) Valuation After US Mortgage Bond Buying Program News

Simply Wall St.01-14

The latest move in Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN) comes after news of a planned US$200b U.S. mortgage bond buying program, a policy aimed at housing affordability that quickly pulled investor focus...

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However, the 1 year total shareholder return is still a 14.69% decline, suggesting recent...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0006061336.USD":"Blackrock US Small and MidCap Opportunities A2 USD","FBIN":"FORTUNE BRANDS HOME & SECURITY INC","BK4086":"建筑产品","TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF"},"translate_title":"美国抵押贷款债券购买计划消息后财富品牌创新(FBIN)估值一览","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"FBIN":1.5,"US30Y.BOND":1.5,"US5Y.BOND":1.5,"TLTW":0.6,"US6M.BOND":1.5,"US7Y.BOND":1.5,"US3Y.BOND":1.5,"US10Y.BOND":1.5,"US12M.BOND":1.5,"TMF":0.6,"US2Y.BOND":1.5},"content_text":"The latest move in Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN) comes after news of a planned US$200b U.S. mortgage bond buying program, a policy aimed at housing affordability that quickly pulled investor focus toward housing related names. See our latest analysis for Fortune Brands Innovations. That policy driven surge comes on top of a 7 day share price return of 15.93% and a 90 day share price return of 19.05%. However, the 1 year total shareholder return is still a 14.69% decline, suggesting recent momentum contrasts with weaker long term results. If housing related news has your attention, it could be a good moment to broaden your watchlist and check out auto manufacturers as another way to think about consumer and economic trends tied to big ticket purchases. With FBIN trading at US$59.30 versus an analyst target of US$62.50 and an estimated intrinsic value gap of about 27%, the key question is whether the recent rebound still leaves upside or if the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 5.2% Undervalued Compared with the last close at US$59.30, the most followed narrative pegs Fortune Brands Innovations' fair value slightly higher, and roots that gap in long term earnings power.  The company's strategic investments in digital products, such as connected water management, smart locks, and a new subscription-based recurring revenue model, are enabling a transition toward higher-margin, tech-enabled solutions, driving both improved net margins and earnings growth.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue mix shift and margin profile could support that higher value, especially with a lower future P/E than the wider building group? The narrative builds a full earnings path, layer by layer, to justify its target and discount rate assumptions. In this widely followed view, fair value of US$62.56 comes from projecting Fortune Brands Innovations' future revenues and earnings, then discounting them back at 9.54% to today. Analysts behind the narrative tie that to expectations for faster profit growth than revenue growth, a higher profit margin profile, and a future earnings multiple that is below the current P/E level cited for the broader US Building industry. Result: Fair Value of $62.56 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this depends on housing-exposed demand holding up and input costs staying manageable, as weaker renovation activity or commodity swings could quickly compress margins and reset expectations. Find out about the key risks to this Fortune Brands Innovations narrative. Another Angle on Valuation So far the focus has been on a fair value built from earnings forecasts and a discount rate. If you switch to a simpler P/E check, FBIN trades at 21.8x earnings, slightly above the US Building industry at 21.6x but well below peers at 42.1x and its own fair ratio of 32.1x. That mix hints at both a quality premium and some caution, so the question is whether the market is underestimating or correctly pricing that gap. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NYSE:FBIN P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own Fortune Brands Innovations Narrative If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion, or just prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build a full narrative in a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Fortune Brands Innovations research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If FBIN has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. Widening your search with focused stock lists can help you spot opportunities you might otherwise miss.  Target potential value by checking out these 880 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that align with your view on cash flow strength and pricing. Explore technology-focused ideas by scanning these 26 AI penny stocks that sit at the intersection of software, data, and automation. Consider income-oriented opportunities by reviewing these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that may suit a yield focused approach.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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