A Look At VICI Properties (VICI) Valuation As Investor Focus Rises On Earnings And Dividend Growth Expectations

Simply Wall St.01-13

Recent commentary has pushed VICI Properties (VICI) back into focus as investors consider perceived undervaluation, resilient rent streams and disciplined capital allocation ahead of the company’s ...

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See our latest analysis for VICI Properties. At a share price of $27.89, VICI’s recent 90 day share price return of a 10.38% decline contrasts with a 1 year total shareholder return of 2.75% and a 5 year total shareholder return of 43.85%. This suggests long term holders have still been rewarded even as near term momentum has softened around upcoming earnings and ongoing rent and development discussions. If you are reassessing income focused real estate exposure after VICI, it could be a good moment to broaden your search with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. So with VICI trading at $27.89 while analysts see higher fair value and talk about resilient rent and dividends, is this a rare discount in experiential real estate, or is the market already baking in the next leg of growth? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 21.1% Undervalued Compared with VICI Properties’ last close at US$27.89, the most followed narrative sees fair value nearer US$35, framing a clear valuation gap for investors to weigh.  High inflation and the appeal of reliable, inflation-linked cash flows make VICI's triple-net leases with contractual escalators highly attractive to investors seeking income and an inflation hedge, which some view as supportive of resilient FFO and dividend growth potential even in a turbulent macro environment.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what is baked into that higher value range? The narrative focuses on steady revenue gains, sticky margins and a future earnings multiple that stands below many peers. Want to see which specific growth and profitability paths are doing the heavy lifting in that model? Result: Fair Value of $35.35 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this upside story could be challenged if the Caesars regional lease is reset on less favorable terms or if more capital shifts into higher risk lending and development loans. Find out about the key risks to this VICI Properties narrative.  Build Your Own VICI Properties Narrative If you do not fully agree with this view or prefer to rely on your own work, you can test the assumptions yourself in minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your VICI Properties research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Ready to hunt for your next idea? If VICI has you thinking about where to put fresh capital to work, do not stop here. The screener can surface other opportunities you would not want to miss.  Target potential mispricings by checking out these 879 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that may trade below what their cash flows suggest. Position yourself early in major tech shifts by scanning these 26 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence trends. Tap into income ideas by reviewing these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that offer yields above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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