Assessing Expeditors International Of Washington (EXPD) Valuation After Strong Recent Share Price Momentum

Simply Wall St.01-15

Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) has drawn fresh attention after a recent move in its share price, with investors weighing its $11.17b in revenue and $845.50m in net income against recent...

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See our latest analysis for Expeditors International of Washington. The recent uptick in Expeditors International of Washington's share price to US$162.22 sits within a strong trend, with a 37.18% 90 day share price return and a 47.33% 1 year total shareholder return suggesting momentum has been building rather than fading. If Expeditors International of Washington's recent strength has caught your attention, it could be a good moment to broaden your watchlist with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With the share price sitting above the average analyst target and some models suggesting an intrinsic premium, you have to ask yourself: is Expeditors now fully valued, or is the market still underestimating its future growth potential? AdvertisementPrice-to-Earnings of 25.7x: Is it justified? On a simple earnings yardstick, Expeditors International of Washington trades on a P/E of 25.7x, which sits well above several reference points. The P/E ratio compares the current share price with the company’s earnings per share and is a common way investors weigh what they are paying for each dollar of profit. For Expeditors, the current 25.7x P/E is higher than the SWS fair P/E estimate of 14.5x. This implies the market is placing a richer price on its earnings than this regression based fair ratio suggests. It is also above the peer average of 20.4x and the Global Logistics industry average of 16.3x. This gap signals investors are currently paying a clear premium to own these earnings compared with both direct peers and the wider sector. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Expeditors International of Washington Result: Price-to-Earnings of 25.7x (OVERVALUED) However, you also have to weigh the risk that current earnings multiples compress if sentiment cools or if logistics demand and pricing turn less supportive. Find out about the key risks to this Expeditors International of Washington narrative. Another View: DCF Says The Premium Is Even Richer While the 25.7x P/E already looks punchy, our DCF model suggests Expeditors International of Washington is trading above its estimated fair value of US$140.57 at a share price of US$162.22. If both earnings and cash flow point to a premium, it raises the question of what justifies paying that higher price. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. EXPD Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Expeditors International of Washington for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 887 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Expeditors International of Washington Narrative If you see this differently or simply prefer to rely on your own work, you can test the numbers yourself in just a few minutes and Do it your way. A great starting point for your Expeditors International of Washington research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Expeditors has you thinking more broadly about opportunities, use this moment to widen your research and pressure test your assumptions against different types of stocks.  Target dependable cash generators by scanning for companies in these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that may align with an income focused approach. Spot potential mispricings by filtering for these 887 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that could suit a value driven watchlist. Position ahead of emerging trends by checking out these 80 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks that are tied to blockchain and digital asset themes.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Expeditors International of Washington might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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