Union Pacific (UNP) Valuation Check After Recent Share Moves And Undervaluation Signals

Simply Wall St.01-17

AdvertisementWhy Union Pacific (UNP) Is On Investors’ Radar Today Union Pacific (UNP) has drawn attention after recent share moves, with the stock showing mixed returns over the past week, month, and ...

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See our latest analysis for Union Pacific. At around $229.49, Union Pacific’s recent share price return has been soft over the past month, although its 1 year total shareholder return of 0.30% and 3 year total shareholder return of 18.00% suggest a steadier, longer term profile, with momentum that currently looks muted rather than accelerating. If Union Pacific’s recent moves have you thinking about what else is on the move, it could be a good time to scan aerospace and defense stocks for other transport linked opportunities. With Union Pacific trading around $229.49, showing a 22.30% intrinsic discount and a 14.01% gap to the average analyst target, you have to ask: is this a genuine value opportunity, or is the market already banking on future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 11.8% Undervalued Against the last close of US$229.49, the most followed narrative points to a fair value near US$260, framing the current price as discounted rather than stretched. • Analysts are assuming Union Pacific's revenue will grow by 6.6% annually over the next 3 years. Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of earnings path and profit margins are baked into this view, and which future P/E multiple ties it all together? The full narrative lays out the revenue climb, margin shape, and payout assumptions that underpin this fair value, along with how a slightly higher discount rate still lands near that US$260 mark. Result: Fair Value of $260.24 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, that fair value case still leans on steady freight demand and a smooth Norfolk Southern merger review, and both trade policy shifts and tougher regulation could easily upset those assumptions. Find out about the key risks to this Union Pacific narrative.  Build Your Own Union Pacific Narrative If you look at these numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to test your own assumptions directly, you can build a custom narrative in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Union Pacific research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Union Pacific has caught your eye, do not stop there. Use the Simply Wall St Screener to quickly surface other opportunities before the market moves on.  Spot potential mispriced companies by scanning these 862 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that currently trade below what their cash flows might justify. Ride powerful tech trends by checking out these 24 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence themes. Target dependable income by reviewing these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% offering yields above 3% for a potential stream of cash returns.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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