How Advanced Drainage Systems’ Big EPS Beat and EBITDA Growth Will Impact Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) Investors

Simply Wall St.01-19

Advanced Drainage Systems recently reported fiscal second-quarter 2026 results that exceeded analyst expectations, including a double-digit earnings per share surprise and 17% year-over-year adjusted ...

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The company’s ability to surpass forecasts while addressing prior market concerns on its earnings call has reinforced investor confidence in its underlying business trends. With these stronger-than-expected quarterly results as a backdrop, we’ll now examine how this earnings performance influences Advanced Drainage Systems’ investment narrative. AI is about to change healthcare. These 110 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10b in market cap - there's still time to get in early.AdvertisementAdvanced Drainage Systems Investment Narrative RecapTo own Advanced Drainage Systems, you need to believe that demand for modern stormwater and drainage solutions will keep justifying the company’s scale, profitability and ongoing investments in higher margin products. The recent fiscal Q2 2026 beat and 52 week high support the near term catalyst of confidence in execution, but do not remove the key risk that a softer or stagnant construction and infrastructure spending backdrop could still cap volume growth. Among recent announcements, the reaffirmed fiscal 2026 net sales guidance range of US$2.825 billion to US$2.975 billion is most relevant here, because it anchors expectations after the earnings surprise. It ties directly into the core catalyst of long term infrastructure and regulatory tailwinds, while reminding investors that continued progress will still depend on how end market demand and project timing unfold over the next few quarters. However, investors should also be aware that if input costs such as resin were to move abruptly higher... Read the full narrative on Advanced Drainage Systems (it's free!)Advanced Drainage Systems' narrative projects $3.3 billion revenue and $558.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 4.3% yearly revenue growth and about a $125.6 million earnings increase from $432.7 million today.Uncover how Advanced Drainage Systems' forecasts yield a $173.00 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.Exploring Other PerspectivesWMS 1-Year Stock Price Chart Four Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates span roughly US$93 to US$173 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. Against this backdrop, ongoing dependence on favorable material costs could play a pivotal role in how the company’s actual performance lines up with these expectations, so it is worth weighing several different opinions before making up your mind.Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Advanced Drainage Systems - why the stock might be worth as much as 9% more than the current price!Build Your Own Advanced Drainage Systems NarrativeDisagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.A great starting point for your Advanced Drainage Systems research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.Our free Advanced Drainage Systems research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Advanced Drainage Systems' overall financial health at a glance.Looking For Alternative Opportunities?These stocks are moving-our analysis flagged them today. Act fast before the price catches up:Uncover the next big thing with financially sound penny stocks that balance risk and reward.The best AI stocks today may lie beyond giants like Nvidia and Microsoft. Find the next big opportunity with these 24 smaller AI-focused companies with strong growth potential through early-stage innovation in machine learning, automation, and data intelligence that could fund your retirement.We've found 12 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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