Assessing Criteo (CRTO) Valuation After A Mixed Return Record And Recent Share Price Stabilization

Simply Wall St.01-17

AdvertisementRecent performance snapshot Criteo (CRTO) is back on some investors’ radars after a mixed stretch, with the share price showing small moves over the past week and month, and a modest gain...

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That recent pattern sits against a longer history where the stock shows a 45.3% negative total return over the past year and a 27% negative total return over 3 years, partly offset by an 8.5% positive total return over 5 years. See our latest analysis for Criteo. At a share price of $20.49, Criteo’s 2.3% year to date share price gain sits against a much weaker 1 year total shareholder return of a 45.3% decline, suggesting recent momentum is still rebuilding after a tougher stretch. If this kind of uneven recovery has you thinking about where else capital could work, it could be worth widening your search to high growth tech and AI stocks as another way to spot opportunities in the sector. With Criteo trading at $20.49 against a $35.75 analyst target and carrying a mixed return record, the key question is whether the current price reflects a genuine discount or if markets already see the growth story ahead. Most Popular Narrative: 43% Undervalued The most followed narrative on Criteo pitches a fair value of US$35.92 against the last close of US$20.49, framing a sizeable valuation gap for investors to assess. The rapid adoption of AI-powered ad targeting and the development of Agentic AI solutions leveraging Criteo's structured commerce data is expected to boost campaign performance and unlock new monetization channels, supporting both revenue growth and potential margin expansion as productized, automated offerings gain scale. Read the complete narrative. Curious how shrinking top line assumptions still back up a higher value? The narrative leans heavily on margins, earnings power and a future P/E reset. Result: Fair Value of $35.92 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there are still clear pressure points here, including tougher competition from larger ad platforms and slower than expected client ramps in key retail media deals. Find out about the key risks to this Criteo narrative.  Build Your Own Criteo Narrative If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to base decisions on your own view of the data, you can build a tailored Criteo story in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Criteo research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Criteo has sparked your curiosity, do not stop here. Use the Simply Wall St Screener to quickly spot other opportunities that fit your style and risk appetite.  Target dependable income by checking out these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% which may appeal if you care about regular cash returns alongside share price moves. Back emerging trends by scanning these 24 AI penny stocks which are tied to artificial intelligence themes across different parts of the market. Hunt for potential mispricings by reviewing these 868 undervalued stocks based on cash flows which currently trade below what their cash flows might suggest.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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