Assessing Andersons (ANDE) Valuation After Insider Sales And 2028 Earnings Growth Plan

Simply Wall St.01-17

Andersons (ANDE) has drawn fresh attention after December insider sales by a director and the CEO coincided with the company outlining a growth plan that targets earnings per share of US$7.00 by 2028....

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See our latest analysis for Andersons. The recent insider sales and EPS target update come during a period of firm momentum, with Andersons showing a 21.84% 90 day share price return and a 151.20% five year total shareholder return, while the latest one day move was slightly negative. If this kind of insider and performance story has your attention, it could be a good moment to broaden your watchlist and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With Andersons trading near US$57.85 and the average analyst price target at US$62.50, the gap is not huge. The key question is whether recent gains leave limited upside or if markets are underestimating that EPS plan. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 7.4% Undervalued The most widely followed narrative sees Andersons' fair value at US$62.50 per share, slightly above the last close around US$57.85, and builds a case around future earnings power rather than recent share price momentum.  In order for the above numbers to justify the analysts price target, the company would need to trade at a PE ratio of 10.6x on those 2028 earnings, down from 16.8x today. This future PE is lower than the current PE for the US Consumer Retailing industry at 21.7x.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue climb, margin reset, and earnings ramp would need to fall into place to back that valuation? The projections lean on meaningful profit expansion, a richer multiple than the earlier model, and a specific discount rate to bring those 2028 numbers into today's price. If you want to see exactly how those moving parts fit together, the full narrative lays out all the assumptions in detail. Result: Fair Value of $62.50 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, the story could look very different if commodity swings or weaker returns on recent ethanol and grain investments were to hit margins and strain cash generation. Find out about the key risks to this Andersons narrative. Another Angle on Valuation The main narrative leans on future earnings and a fair value of US$62.50, yet our SWS DCF model presents a different view, with an estimate closer to US$17.93 and Andersons trading above that level. Same company, two very different stories. Which one best aligns with your expectations? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. ANDE Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own Andersons Narrative If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to test your own assumptions directly, you can build a fresh Andersons thesis in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Andersons research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Andersons has you thinking differently about opportunity and risk, do not stop here. Broaden your search and pressure test your next move with more targeted ideas.  Spot potential value plays early by checking out these 863 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that line up current prices with underlying cash flow strength. Explore real world applications by scanning these 109 healthcare AI stocks which blend medical expertise with advanced data tools. Review these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that offer yields above 3% to evaluate potential income streams.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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