A Look At Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum And Merger Expectations

Simply Wall St.01-17

AdvertisementRecent performance snapshot Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) shares closed at $98.44, with the stock showing a 0.8% move over the past day and a 1.4% gain over the past week, alongside ...

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See our latest analysis for Pinnacle Financial Partners. The recent 90-day share price return of 13.12% contrasts with a 1-year total shareholder return decline of 17.10% and suggests momentum has picked up again after a softer patch earlier in the year. If PNFP has caught your attention, it could be a good time to broaden your search and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as another source of ideas. With PNFP trading at $98.44, sitting at a discount to the average analyst price target and with an indicated intrinsic discount, you have to ask: is this an undervalued regional bank, or is the market already pricing in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 14.3% Undervalued At a last close of $98.44 versus a narrative fair value of about $114.86, the current price sits well below what this framework suggests, putting the focus squarely on how future earnings and merger execution might close that gap.  Analysts expect earnings to reach $1.9 billion (and earnings per share of $10.77) by about September 2028, up from $581.7 million today. In order for the above numbers to justify the analysts price target, the company would need to trade at a PE ratio of 5.5x on those 2028 earnings, down from 12.9x today.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how a lower future P/E, faster revenue growth and changing profit margins still support a higher value than today, and what that implies for 2028 earnings power, capital returns and merger synergies? The full narrative lays out the math, the milestones, and the assumptions that tie it all together. Result: Fair Value of $114.86 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this story can change quickly if the Synovus merger stumbles on integration, or if tighter regulation and higher costs weigh on earnings and capital returns. Find out about the key risks to this Pinnacle Financial Partners narrative.  Build Your Own Pinnacle Financial Partners Narrative If the story here does not quite line up with your own view, or you would rather test the numbers yourself, you can build a personalised narrative in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Pinnacle Financial Partners research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If PNFP is on your radar, do not stop there, use the Simply Wall St Screener to quickly surface more stocks that fit what you are looking for.  Spot potential value setups by checking out these 863 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that align with your preferred balance between quality, price and future cash flow expectations. Ride powerful technology shifts by scanning these 24 AI penny stocks that tie artificial intelligence themes to real business models and financials. Target income opportunities by reviewing these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that aim to combine yield with underlying business strength.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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