A Look At Wynn Macau (SEHK:1128) Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness

Simply Wall St.01-19

AdvertisementWhy Wynn Macau (SEHK:1128) is on investors’ radar Wynn Macau (SEHK:1128) has caught attention after recent share price weakness, with the stock showing negative returns over the past week...

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See our latest analysis for Wynn Macau. Looking at the pattern, Wynn Macau’s recent share price weakness, including a 30 day share price return of a 5.57% decline from HK$5.76, contrasts with its 12.75% 1 year total shareholder return, which still sits against deeper 3 and 5 year total shareholder losses. If this kind of mixed momentum has you reassessing your watchlist, it could be a good moment to broaden your search with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With Wynn Macau trading at HK$5.76, some valuation models suggest a meaningful discount to both intrinsic value and analyst targets. The key question is whether this reflects a genuine opportunity or if the market already anticipates future growth. Price-to-Earnings of 16.4x: Is it justified? On earnings, Wynn Macau trades on a P/E of 16.4x, which screens as a little expensive versus its own peer group average of 15x despite recent share price weakness. The P/E ratio compares the share price to earnings per share. It effectively shows how much investors are paying today for each unit of current earnings. For a casino resort operator like Wynn Macau, this matters because earnings can be sensitive to visitor volumes, spending patterns and operating leverage, so the earnings multiple often embeds expectations about the durability of profits. Here, the stock is described as expensive relative to peers on a straight P/E comparison. Its 16.4x multiple, however, sits slightly below the estimated fair P/E ratio of 16.7x, which indicates that the current pricing is very close to the level the market could move towards if that fair ratio view gained traction. Against the Hong Kong hospitality industry, Wynn Macau is actually framed as good value, with its 16.4x P/E sitting under the sector’s 17x average. This suggests the market is not applying a premium multiple compared to the broader industry. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Wynn Macau Result: Price-to-Earnings of 16.4x (ABOUT RIGHT) However, you also need to weigh risks such as Wynn Macau’s deeper 3 and 5 year shareholder losses and the possibility that current earnings growth proves less resilient. Find out about the key risks to this Wynn Macau narrative. Another View: Discounted Cash Flow Signals Deeper Value Gap The P/E workup paints Wynn Macau as roughly fairly priced, but our DCF model points to something quite different. With the shares at HK$5.76 and our fair value estimate at HK$9.91, the stock is described as trading at about a 41.9% discount. That kind of gap raises an obvious question: Are market worries about balance sheet pressure and earnings resilience doing more of the heavy lifting than the cash flow math suggests? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 1128 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Wynn Macau for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 873 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Wynn Macau Narrative If this view does not sit right with you, or you would rather work through the numbers yourself, you can shape a custom thesis in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Wynn Macau research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you are serious about sharpening your watchlist, do not stop at one stock. Make sure you check a few focused idea lists while the market is moving.  Spot potential value candidates early by scanning these 873 undervalued stocks based on cash flows where pricing and cash flows are already lined up for you. Position yourself for the next wave of computing advances with these 23 quantum computing stocks and see which businesses are building real exposure to this theme. Target income focused opportunities using these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% so you can quickly see which companies currently offer yields above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Wynn Macau might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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