Assessing Woodward (WWD) Valuation After China Truck Exit And Zacks Rating Upgrade

Simply Wall St.01-17

AdvertisementWhy Woodward’s China exit and rating upgrade matter for investors Woodward (WWD) is exiting its on-highway natural gas truck business in China after unsuccessful sale efforts, while also ...

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The China move affects a business that has not contributed meaningfully to results, and Woodward reports record fiscal 2025 sales and earnings across its Industrial and Aerospace segments, which may influence how some investors reassess the stock. See our latest analysis for Woodward. Investors appear to be reacting more to Woodward’s broader earnings story than to the China exit alone. The share price is at US$333.06 and a 30 day share price return of 15.71% is contributing to a 1 year total shareholder return of 77%. This indicates that momentum has been building over both the short and longer term. If Woodward’s recent moves have caught your attention, it could be a useful time to see what else is happening across aerospace and defense stocks as you compare ideas. With Woodward shares at US$333.06, a 1 year total return of 77% and the stock trading roughly 9% below the average analyst target, you have to ask yourself: is there still a buying opportunity here, or is the market already pricing in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 5% Overvalued The most followed narrative for Woodward puts fair value at US$317.13, a little below the last close of US$333.06, which sets up a modest valuation gap for you to judge. The global push for decarbonization and rising energy efficiency standards is accelerating demand for high-tech propulsion, actuation, and energy management systems in both aviation and industrial markets, supporting Woodward's revenue growth and expanding its addressable market over the coming years. Increasing digitalization and automation in industrial and aerospace manufacturing is expected to drive sustained demand for Woodward's advanced motion control and actuator solutions. These solutions, supported by its ongoing investments in automation and proprietary technologies, are viewed as potential drivers of enhanced net margins and long-term earnings power. Read the complete narrative. Curious how steady mid single digit revenue assumptions, rising margins and a richer future earnings multiple all fit together into that fair value? The full narrative lays out the earnings path, the margin ramp and the valuation multiple that has to hold up for this view to work. Result: Fair Value of $317.13 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, heavy investment in new facilities and acquisitions, along with reliance on legacy aerospace platforms, could pressure free cash flow and challenge the current earnings narrative. Find out about the key risks to this Woodward narrative. Another Angle On Valuation Our DCF model suggests Woodward’s current price of US$333.06 sits above an estimated fair value of US$293.30, which points to an overvalued picture rather than the modest 5% gap implied by the narrative fair value of US$317.13. Which set of assumptions do you trust more? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. WWD Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own Woodward Narrative If you are not convinced by these assumptions or prefer to rely on your own work, you can use the same data to build a custom view in minutes, starting with Do it your way. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Woodward. Looking for more investment ideas? If Woodward is on your radar, do not stop there. Broaden your watchlist using curated stock ideas so you are not relying on a single theme.  Target potential mispricings by scanning these 863 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that analysts might be overlooking. Ride powerful technology trends by checking out these 24 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence. Strengthen your income focus with these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that already offer yields above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Woodward might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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