Shoucheng Holdings (SEHK:697) Valuation Check After Strong One Year Return And Premium P/E Ratio

Simply Wall St.01-17

AdvertisementShoucheng Holdings: Key Figures At A Glance Shoucheng Holdings (SEHK:697) has been on investors’ radar recently after a mixed pattern in short term returns, including a 0.5% daily move ...

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The 1 year total shareholder...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"00697":"首程控股","BK1216":"多样化房地产活动","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc"},"translate_title":"首程控股（SEHK：697）一年强劲回报和溢价市盈率后的估值检查","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"00697":0.9,"DCF":1},"content_text":"AdvertisementShoucheng Holdings: Key Figures At A Glance Shoucheng Holdings (SEHK:697) has been on investors’ radar recently after a mixed pattern in short term returns, including a 0.5% daily move and a 6.7% gain over the past month, alongside weaker longer term performance. See our latest analysis for Shoucheng Holdings. At the current share price of HK$2.07, Shoucheng Holdings has seen short term share price momentum cool after a recent 30 day share price return of 6.7%. The 1 year total shareholder return of 121.45% points to earlier strength that has eased back. Multi year total shareholder returns of 28.15% over three years and 23.69% over five years suggest longer term holders have seen mixed outcomes as sentiment around growth prospects and risk has shifted over time. If Shoucheng’s moves have you thinking about what else is out there, it could be a good moment to broaden your search with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With HK$1,410.44m in revenue, HK$488.68m in net income and a share price at HK$2.07, the key question is simple: is Shoucheng still undervalued, or is the market already pricing in future growth? Price-to-Earnings of 35.2x: Is It Justified? On a headline basis, Shoucheng’s current P/E of 35.2x, against a last close of HK$2.07, points to a share price that screens as expensive relative to both its own estimated fair P/E and to peers. The P/E ratio tells you how much investors are currently paying for each dollar of earnings. This is especially watched for asset heavy, income generating businesses such as infrastructure and real estate related groups. At 35.2x, the market is attaching a higher earnings multiple to Shoucheng than to many Hong Kong real estate names. This suggests investors are paying up for its earnings profile rather than treating it as a low multiple asset play. Compared with the estimated fair P/E of 17.2x, Shoucheng’s current multiple sits at more than double the level indicated by our fair ratio work as a potential reference point. Against the Hong Kong real estate industry average P/E of 14.1x and the peer average of 25.2x, the gap is even more pronounced. This signals that the stock is priced at a premium not just to its sector, but also to closer peers. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Shoucheng Holdings Result: Price-to-Earnings of 35.2x (OVERVALUED) However, the rich 35.2x P/E and mixed short term returns, including a 3.3% 7 day decline, mean that any disappointment in earnings or sentiment could quickly pressure the share price. Find out about the key risks to this Shoucheng Holdings narrative. Another View: What Our DCF Says The SWS DCF model points in the same direction as the P/E work. On this view, Shoucheng at HK$2.07 sits above an estimated fair value of HK$1.38, which again frames the current price as rich rather than cheap. With two methods lining up, the question is what could shift the story. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 697 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Shoucheng Holdings for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 863 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Shoucheng Holdings Narrative If your view differs or you simply want to test the numbers yourself, you can put together your own version of the story in minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Shoucheng Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Shoucheng is only one piece of your watchlist, this is the moment to widen your view and line up a few more opportunities to compare.  Spot potential value setups by checking out these 863 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that might suit your return and risk preferences. Ride powerful income themes by scanning these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that put cash yields front and center. Get ahead of fast moving themes in digital assets with these 80 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks before the next big story hits your feed.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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