American Bitcoin (ABTC) Valuation After New Bitcoin Reserves Disclosure And Bitcoin Yield Metric Launch

Simply Wall St.01-19

AdvertisementAmerican Bitcoin’s new disclosure focus American Bitcoin (ABTC) is drawing fresh attention after highlighting more than 5,098 Bitcoin in reserves and rolling out a Bitcoin Yield Metric ...

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See our latest analysis for American Bitcoin. That renewed focus on its 5,098 Bitcoin reserves and the new Bitcoin Yield Metric comes after a tough period, with American Bitcoin’s share price return declining 67.78% over 90 days and 7.87% year to date to US$1.64, suggesting momentum has been fading even as disclosure improves. If this kind of Bitcoin exposure has your attention, it could be worth widening your search and checking out high growth tech and AI stocks for other tech focused opportunities in the market. With the share price down sharply over 90 days yet trading at a discount to analyst targets and intrinsic estimates, you have to ask yourself: is American Bitcoin overlooked value, or is the market already pricing in future growth? Price to earnings of 9.1x, is it justified? On a P/E of 9.1x at a last close of US$1.64, American Bitcoin screens as cheap compared to both the wider US software sector and its direct peers. The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share, so a lower figure often signals that the market is paying less for each dollar of earnings. For American Bitcoin, that 9.1x multiple sits well below the US software industry average of 31.6x and the peer average of 31x. This suggests the market is assigning a much lower earnings multiple than comparable companies. Given revenue is forecast to grow 28.52% per year while earnings are forecast to decline on average, the gap in P/E could reflect investor caution around the quality of non cash earnings and pressure on profit margins rather than a simple mispricing. Set against the sector, the contrast is stark. The company trades on less than one third of the industry P/E and less than one third of the peer average, a strong relative discount that raises the question of whether the earnings profile, forecast declines and board governance concerns fully explain why the market prices American Bitcoin this far below software peers. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. Result: Price-to-earnings of 9.1x (UNDERVALUED) However, you also need to weigh risks like forecast earnings declines and the fact that American Bitcoin’s returns have been sharply negative across recent time frames. Find out about the key risks to this American Bitcoin narrative. Another view, our DCF estimate The low 9.1x P/E suggests American Bitcoin looks cheap, but our DCF model also points to value, with the shares trading about 44.4% below an estimated fair value of US$2.95. If both methods indicate that the stock may be undervalued, is the real risk in the earnings outlook or in the market’s caution? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. ABTC Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out American Bitcoin for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 873 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own American Bitcoin Narrative If you see the numbers differently or prefer to rely on your own data driven view, you can shape a full thesis in minutes by starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your American Bitcoin research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you stop with just one stock, you could miss other opportunities waiting in plain sight. Let the Simply Wall Street Screener help you cast a wider net.  Spot potential hidden value by checking out these 873 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that might be trading below what their cash flows suggest. Tap into growth themes by reviewing these 24 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence trends. Add diversification with income by scanning these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that offer yields above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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