A Look At Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum

Simply Wall St.01-18

AdvertisementRecent performance snapshot Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) has drawn fresh attention after a period of steady share moves, with the stock recently closing at $159.30 and posting positive...

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See our latest analysis for Advanced Drainage Systems. Beyond the recent share price move, Advanced Drainage Systems has built a clear upswing, with a 10.1% 30 day share price return alongside a 27.6% 1 year total shareholder return. This suggests momentum has been building over both shorter and longer periods. If this kind of steady interest in infrastructure names has you looking around, it could be a good time to scan fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as a source of fresh stock ideas. With annual revenue growth near 5%, net income growth close to 9% and the share price sitting below the average analyst target, the real question is whether Advanced Drainage Systems is still mispriced or if the market already reflects its future value. Most Popular Narrative: 7.9% Undervalued With Advanced Drainage Systems closing at $159.30 against a narrative fair value of $173, the current share price sits below that framework and puts the focus squarely on the growth and margin profile that underpins it.  Continuous expansion of the Allied Products and Infiltrator segments, both of which command higher margins and are growing faster than the core Pipe business, is shifting product mix toward higher profitability, resulting in improved EBITDA margins and long-term earnings power.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what kind of revenue run rate and margin lift are built into that fair value, and how rich the future P/E needs to be to support it? The narrative leans on a specific growth glide path and a premium earnings multiple that may surprise you. The details sit in the full set of forecasts and valuation steps. Result: Fair Value of $173 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, you still need to weigh risks such as weaker construction and infrastructure spending or higher resin costs, which could pressure both revenue and margins. Find out about the key risks to this Advanced Drainage Systems narrative. Another way to look at value The narrative fair value of US$173 suggests upside, but the market is not exactly treating Advanced Drainage Systems as a bargain. On a P/E of about 27x, the shares sit above the US Building industry at 22x and above a fair ratio of 25.3x, which points to a richer pricing bar. That kind of premium can signal confidence in the long term story, or it can mean expectations are tight and leave less room for error. The key question for you is whether earnings quality and growth justify paying above both peers and that fair ratio, or if patience makes more sense. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NYSE:WMS P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own Advanced Drainage Systems Narrative If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build a custom view in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Advanced Drainage Systems research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you are serious about building a stronger portfolio, do not stop at one company. Use the Simply Wall Street Screener to uncover fresh, data backed stock ideas.  Spot potential turnaround candidates early by scanning these 3531 penny stocks with strong financials that already show stronger financial foundations than many peers. Ride the rise of machine driven disruption by focusing on these 24 AI penny stocks that are tied directly to real commercial applications, not just hype. Target mispriced opportunities by tracking these 863 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that look cheap based on cash flows and could be worth a closer look.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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