Assessing DBS Group Holdings (SGX:D05) Valuation After Resilient Q3 2025 Profit And Diversified Earnings

Simply Wall St.01-16

AdvertisementWhy DBS Group Holdings is back in focus DBS Group Holdings (SGX:D05) is drawing attention after reporting around S$3b in net profit for Q3 2025, with earnings coming from a broad mix of ...

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See our latest analysis for DBS Group Holdings. DBS Group Holdings' recent Q3 2025 update appears to have come alongside firm share price momentum, with a 30 day share price return of 7.02% and a 90 day gain of 13.69%. The 1 year total shareholder return of 43.04% and 5 year total shareholder return of 223.41% suggest longer term holders have also seen strong compounding, indicating sentiment has been building rather than fading. If DBS has sharpened your interest in financials, it can be worth widening the lens to see what else is gaining attention, including fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With DBS shares rising strongly over 1 and 5 years, yet trading at an estimated 26% discount to one intrinsic value estimate, you have to ask whether there is still an entry point here or if the market is already pricing in future growth. Most Popular Narrative: 5.3% Overvalued At a last close of S$59.12 versus a narrative fair value of about S$56.17, the current price sits slightly above that widely followed estimate, which hinges on steady growth, stable margins and only a small valuation uplift over time. Analysts are assuming DBS Group Holdings's revenue will grow by 4.7% annually over the next 3 years. Analysts assume that profit margins will shrink from 50.6% today to 47.8% in 3 years time. Read the complete narrative. Curious how modest top line growth, slightly thinner margins and a richer future P/E can still support that fair value? The narrative hinges on a tight set of earnings and valuation assumptions that are anything but casual. Result: Fair Value of S$56.17 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this narrative could be knocked off course if regulatory penalties linger longer than expected, or if prolonged low interest rates continue to pressure net interest margins. Find out about the key risks to this DBS Group Holdings narrative. Another View: DCF Points to Value Gap While the popular narrative frames DBS Group Holdings as about 5.3% overvalued versus a fair value of S$56.17, our DCF model paints a very different picture. On that approach, DBS at S$59.12 trades around 26.3% below an estimated fair value of S$80.25. Which story do you think rings truer for you? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. D05 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out DBS Group Holdings for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 869 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own DBS Group Holdings Narrative If the story here does not quite fit how you see DBS, you can pull up the numbers, test your own assumptions and Do it your way in just a few minutes. A great starting point for your DBS Group Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If DBS has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. The Screener can quickly surface other ideas that match your style before they run ahead without you.  Catch potential turnaround stories early by scanning these 3538 penny stocks with strong financials that already back their share prices with solid financials. Zero in on income opportunities by filtering for these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that can help make your portfolio’s cash flow more predictable. Position yourself in emerging tech themes by checking out these 24 AI penny stocks that are tied to real businesses, not just headlines.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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