Tariffs Are Back, Complacency Isn't: ETFs That Could Benefit From A Volatility Shock

Benzinga_recent_news01-21 05:51

The stock market's biggest problem right now isn't tariffs—it's denial. After months of relatively calm markets supported by a broadening rally across industrial and value shares, volatility returned ...

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Here's how ETFs may help investors navigate rising uncertainty.","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"benzinga.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"VIXM":"波动率中期期货ETF-ProShares","VYLD":"Inverse VIX Short Term Futures ETN","FDN":"First Trust Dow Jones Internet I","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","VXZ":"中期波动率指数期货ETN","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SVIX":"1倍做空短期期货恐慌指数ETF","VIXY":"波动率短期期货指数ETF","USMV":"美国最小波动率ETF-iShares","TVIXF":"VelocityShare每日2X VIX短期ETN-CITI","SVOL":"Simplify Volatility Premium ETF","VVIX":"VIX指数之波动率指数"},"translate_title":"关税卷土重来，自满不再：ETF可能受益于波动性冲击","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"SVOL":0.6,"VVIX":0.6,"VYLD":0.6,"VXMmain":0.6,"VIXY":0.6,"VXZ":0.6,"SVIX":0.6,"VIXmain":0.7,"FDN":0.7,"USMV":0.6,"TVIXF":0.6,"VIXM":0.6},"content_text":"The stock market's biggest problem right now isn't tariffs—it's denial.\nAfter months of relatively calm markets supported by a broadening rally across industrial and value shares, volatility returned following renewed trade-war rhetoric from President Donald Trump. The comments included the possibility of higher tariffs on Europe. Markets reacted swiftly, with equities falling and gold prices rising, underscoring how geopolitical developments can disrupt valuation-driven market trends.\nPositioning shows that investors were not ready. Volatility protection, as measured by VIX, is at an eight-year low, as per Bank of America's latest survey, cited in a Yahoo Finance report. The cash level is at record lows, and equity allocation is at its highest level since December 2024, while the S&P 500 trades at 23 times forward earnings, well above its historical average.\nThat combination leaves little margin for surprise. Tariffs, on the other hand, specialize in surprises.\nFor investment professionals looking to go direct for market volatility, volatility-linkedETFs have suddenly become relevant again. Funds such as ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (BATS:VIXY) and ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (BATS:UVXY) have been designed to increase when volatility increases.These funds can offer incredible short-term protection during selloffs, although their futures-based construction makes them lousy long-term holdings owing to roll decay. \nInvestors who do not want to leave equities altogether may favor low-volatility strategies. Both the iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF (BATS:USMV) and the Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF (NYSE:SPLV) focus on companies whose stocks have exhibited relatively low price swings in the past, which should help to reduce portfolio volatility in dicey periods.\nThe good news is, these ETFs generally hold up better in moments of rising uncertainty, even if they lag during euphoric rallies.\nQuality-focused ETFs, such as the iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (BATS:QUAL), focus on companies with strong balance sheets and stable earnings, which tend to be factors that really matter more when policy risk goes up.\nMeanwhile, actively managed futures ETFs like the iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF (NYSE:DBMF) will dynamically change with market trends and provide diversification at a time when equity correlations rise.\nUnsurprisingly, gold is back in favor. ETFs like SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE:GLD) and iShares Gold Trust (NYSE:IAU) are once again serving as portfolio ballast amid political uncertainty and stretched equity valuations. Both the funds are up almost 4% on Tuesday.\nWith tariffs re-entering the conversation and volatility priced for perfection, ETFs built for rougher conditions may no longer look defensive. They may simply look prepared, something the broader market clearly wasn't.\nImage via Shutterstock/ Jack_the_sparow","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"tenantId":"TBGLOBAL","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.0","shortVersion":"4.36.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2605153144","isCrawlerRequest":true}