Resolute Mining (ASX:RSG) Valuation Check After Lower 2025 Output And New 2026 Guidance

Simply Wall St.01-23

Resolute Mining (ASX:RSG) is back in focus after reporting its fourth quarter and full year 2025 production and sales figures, along with fresh 2026 guidance that sets expectations for volumes and ...

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Multi year total shareholder returns also...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0347712357.USD":"BNP PARIBAS GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU2092937221.SGD":"Blackrock Circular Economy A2 SGD-H","LU2240825500.USD":"AZ EQUITY - WATER & RENEWABLE RESOURCES \"A-AZ\" (USD) ACC","LU0823417653.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU2413666426.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT \"C\" (HKD) ACC","LU1721428933.USD":"法巴全球经典环境基金RH MD Dis","LU1868836591.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"1U\"(USD) ACC","LU0471298694.HKD":"BGF NUTRITION \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","LU2106854487.HKD":"ALLIANZ THEMATICA \"AMG\" (HKD) INC","LU1868836757.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"2\" (USD) ACC","LU0154245756.USD":"BNP PARIBAS US MID CAP \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU0471298777.SGD":"Blackrock Nutrition A2 SGD-H","LU0096364046.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"DU\" (USD) ACC","LU0154245673.USD":"BNP PARIBAS US MID CAP \"C\" (USD) INC","LU2413666699.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT \"CRH\" (HKDHDG) INC","LU1854103824.USD":"M&G (LUX) POSITIVE IMPACT \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1974910355.USD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS USD","BK4120":"环境与设施服务","RSG.AU":"RESOLUTE MINING LIMITED","LU2360106947.USD":"BGF NUTRITION \"A4\" (USD) INC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU2506951875.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"CRH\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU0385154629.USD":"贝莱德营养科学基金A2","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK7104":"黄金","LU2506952097.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"CRH\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU2355687059.USD":"NORDEA 1 GLOBAL IMPACT  \"BP\" (USD) ACC","LU2089279066.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL WATER \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU0823417737.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"C\" (USD) INC","LU1868837300.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"9\" (USD) ACC","LU1585245621.USD":"EASTSPRING INV GLOBAL LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY FUND \"A\" (USD) ACC B","RSG":"共和废品处理","LU1430594728.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Global Low Volatility Equity AS SGD","LU2360108059.USD":"BGF CIRCULAR ECONOMY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU2506951958.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"CRH\" (HKDHDG) INC","LU0266013472.USD":"AXA WF - Framlington Longevity Economy A Cap USD","LU2041044095.USD":"Blackrock Circular Economy A2 USD","LU0950375773.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"C\" (USD) INC A","LU2298321311.HKD":"BGF CIRCULAR ECONOMY \"A\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU2023250504.SGD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS H2-SGD","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","LU1868836914.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"3\" (USD) ACC","BK7506":"金矿股","LU1917777945.USD":"安联专题基金Cl AT Acc","LU2506952170.USD":"BNP PARIBAS SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL LOW VOL EQUITY \"CRH\" (USDHDG) INC","LU2229751404.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL WATER \"AT3\" (USD) ACC","LU1854104046.USD":"M&G (LUX) POSITIVE IMPACT \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU1868837136.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"8\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"Resolute Mining(ASX：RSG)在2025年产量下降和2026年新指引后进行估值检查","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"RSG.AU":1.5,"RSG":1.5},"content_text":"Resolute Mining (ASX:RSG) is back in focus after reporting its fourth quarter and full year 2025 production and sales figures, along with fresh 2026 guidance that sets expectations for volumes and costs. See our latest analysis for Resolute Mining. The production update and 2026 guidance land at a time when momentum in Resolute Mining's shares has been strong, with a 15.6% 90 day share price return and a very large 1 year total shareholder return. Multi year total shareholder returns also remain well into positive territory, suggesting sentiment has improved even as investors assess lower recent output and changing institutional ownership. If this update has you thinking more broadly about opportunities in resources and beyond, it could be worth broadening your watchlist with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With a strong recent share price run, a very large 1 year total return and an apparent discount to analyst targets and some intrinsic value estimates, you have to ask: is Resolute Mining still a buying opportunity, or is future growth already priced in? AdvertisementPrice-to-Sales of 2.1x: Is it justified? Resolute Mining is trading on a P/S of 2.1x, which looks low compared with peers and the wider Australian metals and mining group at the last close of A$1.34. P/S compares the company’s market value to its revenue, so a lower ratio can suggest the market is assigning a relatively modest value to each A$1 of sales. For Resolute Mining, that 2.1x P/S is flagged as good value versus both direct peers at 7.8x and the broader Australian metals and mining industry at 145.4x. This is a very large gap. Against an estimated fair P/S of 4.8x, the current multiple also sits well below a level the market could move towards if sentiment and cash flow expectations align more closely with these benchmarks. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Resolute Mining Result: Price-to-Sales of 2.1x (UNDERVALUED) However, the recent very large 1 year and 3 year total returns, combined with a 25.1% discount to analyst targets, could unwind quickly if sentiment or gold sector conditions shift. Find out about the key risks to this Resolute Mining narrative. Another View: Our DCF Model Paints A Very Different Picture While the 2.1x P/S suggests Resolute Mining looks inexpensive next to peers, our DCF model goes much further and flags the shares as trading around 96.1% below its A$33.83 future cash flow value estimate. That is a very large gap, so this could be a rare mispricing or a sign the model is too optimistic. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. RSG Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Resolute Mining for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 877 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Resolute Mining Narrative If you see the story differently or prefer to weigh the data yourself, you can build your own view in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Resolute Mining research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If you are serious about building a stronger portfolio, do not stop at one stock. Use focused screens to quickly surface ideas that actually fit your style.  Target potential growth stories early by scanning these 3535 penny stocks with strong financials that already show stronger financials than many tiny peers. Position yourself in long term technology themes by checking out these 23 AI penny stocks that are tied to real AI adoption rather than just hype. Hunt for mispriced opportunities by reviewing these 877 undervalued stocks based on cash flows and comparing their cash flow profiles with what the market is currently charging.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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